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Investment, Restructuring and Performance in Transition Economies

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  • Vladimir Popov

Abstract

This article seeks to test whether there is evidence that investment affects economic performance as measured by changes in GDP during transition: we find that differences in performance are associated mostly not with investment patterns but with varying marginal capital productivity. There is some evidence that higher investment generally contributes to greater restructuring. However, the link between industrial restructuring at the macro level and economic performance (GDP change) is not straightforward: shifts in industrial structure (industry/agriculture/services) and changes in the share of defence expenditure in GDP do not appear to affect performance, but there is a strong link between increases in export/GDP ratios and better capital productivity and performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Vladimir Popov, 1999. "Investment, Restructuring and Performance in Transition Economies," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 445-462.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:pocoec:v:11:y:1999:i:4:p:445-462
    DOI: 10.1080/14631379995832
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    1. Popov, Vladimir, "undated". "A Russian Puzzle What Makes the Russian Economic Transformation a Special Case," WIDER Working Papers 295322, United Nations University, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. de Melo, Martha & Denizer, Cevdet & Gelb, Alan, 1996. "Patterns of Transition from Plan to Market," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 10(3), pages 397-424, September.
    3. de Melo, Martha & Denizer, Cevdet & Gelb, Alan, 1996. "From plan to market : patterns of transition," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1564, The World Bank.
    4. Vladimir Popov, 1998. "Will Russia achieve fast economic growth?," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 421-449.
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    3. Estrin, Saul & Lazarova, Stepana & Urga, Giovanni, 2001. "Convergence in Transition Countries--Focus on Investment: Central and Eastern Europe, 1970-1996," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 215-230.
    4. Sardor Tadjiev & Pierre-Yves Donze, 2021. "The Development of the Automotive Industry in Post-Soviet Countries since 1991," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 9(2), pages 164-183.
    5. Laurila, Juhani & Singh, Rupinder, 2000. "Sequential reform strategy: The case of Azerbaijan," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2000, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    6. Franz Barjak, 2001. "Regional Disparities in Transition Economies: A Typology for East Germany and Poland," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 289-311.
    7. Laurila, Juhani & Singh, Rupinder, 2000. "Sequential reform strategy : The case of Azerbaijan," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2000, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    8. T.O. Vlasenko & R.F. Chernysh & A.V. Dergach & T.V. Lobunets & O.B. Kurylо, 2020. "Investment Security Management in Transition Economies: Legal and Organizational Aspects," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 200-209.

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