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The effects of weather on crime

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  • James Horrocks
  • Andrea Kutinova Menclova

Abstract

This paper uses daily data from 43 police districts across New Zealand from 2000 to 2008 and employs panel econometric techniques to investigate the effect of weather on crime. Temperature and precipitation are found to have a significant effect on the number of violent crimes recorded, and temperature also affects the number of property crimes recorded. As an extension, the common belief that the Nor'wester wind causes ‘disorderly’ behavior is empirically investigated. Studies of this nature are important for the allocation of police resources.

Suggested Citation

  • James Horrocks & Andrea Kutinova Menclova, 2011. "The effects of weather on crime," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 231-254, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:nzecpp:v:45:y:2011:i:3:p:231-254
    DOI: 10.1080/00779954.2011.572544
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lydia Cheung & Philip Gunby, 2022. "Crime and mobility during the COVID-19 lockdown: a preliminary empirical exploration," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 106-113, January.
    2. Ranson, Matthew, 2014. "Crime, weather, and climate change," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 274-302.
    3. Francois Cohen, Fidel Gonzalez, 2018. "Understanding interpersonal violence: the impact of temperatures in Mexico," GRI Working Papers 291, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    4. Guido de Blasio & Alessio D'Ignazio & Marco Letta, 2020. "Predicting Corruption Crimes with Machine Learning. A Study for the Italian Municipalities," Working Papers 16/20, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    5. Domicián Máté & Adam Novotny & Daniel Francois Meyer, 2021. "The Impact of Sustainability Goals on Productivity Growth: The Moderating Role of Global Warming," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-13, October.
    6. Helen M. Hanlon & Dan Bernie & Giulia Carigi & Jason A. Lowe, 2021. "Future changes to high impact weather in the UK," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-23, June.
    7. Dana E Goin & Kara E Rudolph & Jennifer Ahern, 2017. "Impact of drought on crime in California: A synthetic control approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(10), pages 1-15, October.
    8. Nekeisha Spencer & Eric Strobl, 2019. "Crime Watch: Hurricanes and Illegal Activities," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 86(1), pages 318-338, July.
    9. Xiaofeng Hu & Peng Chen & Hong Huang & Ting Sun & Dan Li, 2017. "Contrasting impacts of heat stress on violent and nonviolent robbery in Beijing, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(2), pages 961-972, June.
    10. Jeongin Eum & Hyungkyoo Kim, 2021. "Effects of Air Pollution on Assaults: Findings from South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-13, October.
    11. Mišák, Vojtěch, 2024. "Does heat cause homicides? A meta-analysis," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    12. de Blasio, Guido & D'Ignazio, Alessio & Letta, Marco, 2022. "Gotham city. Predicting ‘corrupted’ municipalities with machine learning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    13. Nadezhda Baryshnikova & Shannon Davidson & Dennis Wesselbaum, 2022. "Do you feel the heat around the corner? The effect of weather on crime," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 179-199, July.
    14. Jones, Benjamin A., 2022. "Dust storms and violent crime," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

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