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Differences in Population Estimates Between an Administrative System and Census: The Case of Israel

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  • Ahmad Hleihel

Abstract

The component method of population estimation relies on census counts, vital statistics, and internal and international migration. In Israel, all individuals' events are registered. To apply the component method, individuals' records from the census and the administrative data are aggregated to give population estimates. However, this method disconnects individual from aggregated characteristics, and differences appear in individual characteristics between census and administrative data. The Israel Central Bureau of Statistics conducted individual follow-ups. The pros and cons of each method are presented. On average, individual estimates on statistical areas are larger than aggregate estimates, and the differences are stable after several years. The individual estimates are preferable under at least four situations: in conducting a registry of emigrants; in conducting a census of institutions; where administrative files are available; and where census method is suitable to this method.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Hleihel, 2006. "Differences in Population Estimates Between an Administrative System and Census: The Case of Israel," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 63-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:mpopst:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:63-82
    DOI: 10.1080/08898480600619995
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stephen Simpson & Ian Diamond & Pete Tonkin & Rachel Tye, 1996. "Updating Small Area Population Estimates in England and Wales," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 159(2), pages 235-247, March.
    2. Philip Rees & Paul Norman & Dominic Brown, 2004. "A framework for progressively improving small area population estimates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 167(1), pages 5-36, February.
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