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Updating Small Area Population Estimates in England and Wales

Author

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  • Stephen Simpson
  • Ian Diamond
  • Pete Tonkin
  • Rachel Tye

Abstract

Population estimates have important implications for resource allocation within government and commerce, and are often assumed to be without error. Currently, central government provides annual population estimates for all the local and health authority districts in Britain, but estimates are needed for smaller areas, typically for electoral wards and postal sectors. Small area estimates are provided by some local authorities and commercial organizations, using different methods; the accuracy of these estimates is modelled here within a multilevel framework. Certain characteristics of the small area and of the method of estimation are included as explanatory variables. Results show that the method of estimation used is of great importance.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Simpson & Ian Diamond & Pete Tonkin & Rachel Tye, 1996. "Updating Small Area Population Estimates in England and Wales," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 159(2), pages 235-247, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:159:y:1996:i:2:p:235-247
    DOI: 10.2307/2983171
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    Cited by:

    1. Qian Cai, 2007. "New techniques in small area population estimates by demographic characteristics," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 26(2), pages 203-218, April.
    2. Sandra Hadam, 2023. "Experimentelle georeferenzierte Bevölkerungszahl auf Basis der Bevölkerungsfortschreibung und Mobilfunkdaten [Experimental georeferenced population figure based on intercensal population updates an," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 17(1), pages 35-69, March.
    3. Ahmad Hleihel, 2006. "Differences in Population Estimates Between an Administrative System and Census: The Case of Israel," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 63-82.

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