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Impacts of new routes and ports on spatial competition for containerized imports into the United States

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  • Lei Fan
  • William W. Wilson
  • Bruce Dahl

Abstract

Major changes are occurring in the logistics of container shipping including growth in demands, increased ship size and development of new ports and routes to serve the US market. The Panama Canal is in the process of being expanded and potential exists for shipping through the Northwest Passage in addition to new ports being developed on the West Coasts of Canada and Mexico. All these alternatives are expected to compete with the US logistics system. The purpose of this paper is to analyse prospective impacts of these changes on the container flows for shipments to the US markets. A spatial network flow model of the logistics for containerized imports into the United States is developed. It includes ocean shipping in different size vessels operating as strings, port handling, congestion costs and rail shipping. The base model calibrates well with historical shipments through ports and the interior rail system. Then, we analyse impacts of new ports and routes on the US system.

Suggested Citation

  • Lei Fan & William W. Wilson & Bruce Dahl, 2012. "Impacts of new routes and ports on spatial competition for containerized imports into the United States," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(5), pages 479-501, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:39:y:2012:i:5:p:479-501
    DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2012.705027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bruce A. Blonigen & Wesley W. Wilson, 2008. "Port Efficiency and Trade Flows," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 21-36, February.
    2. Somanathan, Saran & Flynn, Peter & Szymanski, Jozef, 2009. "The Northwest Passage: A simulation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 127-135, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Richard Grant & Landolf Rhode-Barbarigos & Shouraseni Sen Roy & Lucas Britton & Chang Li & Aidan Rowe & Austin Becker & Becky Hope & Michael Bello, 2024. "No port stands alone: PortMiami and the resilience of its Caribbean and Mesoamerican maritime network," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 26(2), pages 342-365, June.
    2. Javier Ho & Paul Bernal, 2021. "Estimating a global demand model for soybean traffic through the Panama Canal," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, December.
    3. Yip, Tsz Leung & Wong, Mei Chi, 2015. "The Nicaragua Canal: scenarios of its future roles," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-13.
    4. Theocharis, Dimitrios & Pettit, Stephen & Rodrigues, Vasco Sanchez & Haider, Jane, 2018. "Arctic shipping: A systematic literature review of comparative studies," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 112-128.
    5. Manuel Herrera & Per J. Agrell & Casiano Manrique-de-Lara-Peñate & Lourdes Trujillo, 2017. "Vessel capacity restrictions in the fleet deployment problem: an application to the Panama Canal," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 253(2), pages 845-869, June.

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