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Water management decision makers' evaluations of uncertainty in a decision support system: the case of WaterSim in the Decision Theater

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  • Dave D. White
  • Amber Y. Wutich
  • Kelli L. Larson
  • Tim Lant

Abstract

Model-based decision support systems are increasingly used to link knowledge to action for environmental decision making. How stakeholders perceive uncertainty in models and visualisations affects their perceptions of credibility, relevance and usability of these tools. This paper presents a case study of water decision makers' evaluations of WaterSim, a dynamic water simulation model presented in an immersive decision theatre environment. Results reveal that decision makers' understandings of uncertainty in their evaluations of decision support systems reflect both scientific and political discourse. We conclude with recommendations for design and evaluation of decision support systems that incorporate decision makers' views.

Suggested Citation

  • Dave D. White & Amber Y. Wutich & Kelli L. Larson & Tim Lant, 2015. "Water management decision makers' evaluations of uncertainty in a decision support system: the case of WaterSim in the Decision Theater," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 616-630, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jenpmg:v:58:y:2015:i:4:p:616-630
    DOI: 10.1080/09640568.2013.875892
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    2. Kelli Larson & Robert Edsall, 2010. "The impact of visual information on perceptions of water resource problems and management alternatives," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(3), pages 335-352.
    3. Timothy Lant & Clea Senneville, 2010. "Credibility, salience, and legitimacy of boundary objects: water managers' assessment of a simulation model in an immersive decision theater," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 37(3), pages 219-232, April.
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    6. Patricia Gober & Elizabeth A Wentz & Timothy Lant & Michael K Tschudi & Craig W Kirkwood, 2011. "WaterSim: A Simulation Model for Urban Water Planning in Phoenix, Arizona, USA," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 38(2), pages 197-215, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wanglin Yan & Rob Roggema, 2019. "Developing a Design-Led Approach for the Food-Energy-Water Nexus in Cities," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(1), pages 123-138.
    2. Kelli L. Larson & Dave D. White & Patricia Gober & Amber Wutich, 2015. "Decision-Making under Uncertainty for Water Sustainability and Urban Climate Change Adaptation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-24, November.
    3. Marco Bertoni, 2019. "Multi-Criteria Decision Making for Sustainability and Value Assessment in Early PSS Design," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-27, April.
    4. Anabel Sanchez-Plaza & Annelies Broekman & Pilar Paneque, 2019. "Analytical Framework to Assess the Incorporation of Climate Change Adaptation in Water Management: Application to the Tordera River Basin Adaptation Plan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, February.
    5. Adenike K. Opejin & Rimjhim M. Aggarwal & Dave D. White & J. Leah Jones & Ross Maciejewski & Giuseppe Mascaro & Hessam S. Sarjoughian, 2020. "A Bibliometric Analysis of Food-Energy-Water Nexus Literature," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, February.
    6. Mounir, Adil & Mascaro, Giuseppe & White, Dave D., 2019. "A metropolitan scale analysis of the impacts of future electricity mix alternatives on the water-energy nexus," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    7. Shahmir Janjua & Ishtiaq Hassan & Muhammad Umair Ali & Malik Muhammad Ibrahim & Amad Zafar & Sangil Kim, 2021. "Addressing Social Inequality and Improper Water Distribution in Cities: A Case Study of Karachi, Pakistan," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-15, November.

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