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Educational attainment, growth and poverty reduction within the MDG framework: simulations and costing for the Peruvian case

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  • Gustavo Yamada
  • Juan Castro

Abstract

We propose a model that accounts for the feedback between access to educational services, human capital accumulation and long‐run GDP growth. With this framework, it is possible to simultaneously assess the achievement of Millennium Development Goal (MDG) education targets in terms of their impact on aggregate income growth and poverty incidence. We simulate our model using Peruvian data and different planner preferences regarding access to distinct education cycles. Results reveal that to attain a significant impact on GDP growth and poverty reduction, Peru needs to extend the original set of MDG indicators to account for access to higher education levels besides primary.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Yamada & Juan Castro, 2009. "Educational attainment, growth and poverty reduction within the MDG framework: simulations and costing for the Peruvian case," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 57-73.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jecprf:v:12:y:2009:i:1:p:57-73
    DOI: 10.1080/17487870902775743
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gustavo Yamada, 2007. "Retornos a la educación superior en el mercado laboral: ¿vale la pena el esfuerzo?," Diagnóstico y propuesta, Consorcio de Investigación Económica y Social.
    2. Barro, Robert J & Lee, Jong-Wha, 2001. "International Data on Educational Attainment: Updates and Implications," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 53(3), pages 541-563, July.
    3. World Bank, 2004. "Ecuador - Creating Fiscal Space for Poverty Reduction : A Fiscal Management and Public Expenditure Review, Volume 1. Main Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 14515, The World Bank Group.
    4. Francois Bourguignon & Francisco H.G. Ferreira & Nora Lustig, 2005. "The Microeconomics of Income Distribution Dynamics in East Asia and Latin America," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 14844.
    5. Gustavo Yamada & Juan Francisco Castro, 2007. "Poverty, inequality, and social policies in Peru: As poor as it gets," Working Papers 07-06, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    6. -, 2002. "Meeting the millennium poverty reduction targets in Latin America and the Caribbean," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2349 edited by Eclac, September.
    7. Oscar Dancourt & Félix Jiménez & Waldo Mendoza & Eduardo Morón & Bruno Seminario (ed.), 2004. "Modelo de análisis de políticas macroeconómicas para la economía peruana," Books, Fondo Editorial, Universidad del Pacífico, edition 1, volume 1, number 04-02, June.
    8. Juan F. Castro & Gustavo Yamada, 2006. "Evaluación de estrategias de desarrollo para alcanzar los objetivos del milenio en América Latina," Working Papers 06-11, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    9. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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