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Overcoming Selection Bias in Microcredit Impact Assessments: A Case Study in Peru

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  • Gwendolyn Alexander Tedeschi

Abstract

There are several potential sources of bias in microcredit impact assessments. This paper uses a panel data set from a Peruvian MFI to test for impact of credit on microenterprise profits, while controlling for these biases. We find that those who will eventually become borrowers have significantly higher incomes than those who will not become borrowers, implying that selection into the lending programme is a substantial problem. After controlling for this selection, we find that an average microentrepreneur who borrows earns significantly higher enterprise profits than one who does not borrow, and that na�ve models, which do not control for selection, overestimate this impact. Fixed effects estimates give roughly the same results as the quasi-experimental cross-section analysis.

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  • Gwendolyn Alexander Tedeschi, 2008. "Overcoming Selection Bias in Microcredit Impact Assessments: A Case Study in Peru," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 504-518, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:44:y:2008:i:4:p:504-518
    DOI: 10.1080/00220380801980822
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    Cited by:

    1. Berhane, Guush & Gardebroek, Cornelius, 2012. "Assessing the long-term impact of microcredit on rural poverty: Does the timing and length of participation matter?," ESSP working papers 43, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Bilau, José & St-Pierre, Josée, 2018. "Microcredit repayment in a European context: evidence from Portugal," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 85-96.
    3. Gunhild Berg, 2010. "Evaluating The Impacts Of Microsaving: The Case Of Sewa Bank In India," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 35(1), pages 75-96, March.
    4. Maria Porter, 2016. "Effects of microcredit and other loans on female empowerment in Bangladesh: the borrower's gender influences intra-household resource allocation," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 47(2), pages 235-245, March.
    5. Jennifer De la Cruz, 2024. "Regional Financial Development and Micro and Small Enterprises in Peru," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2024-532, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    6. Jebarajakirthy, Charles & Lobo, Antonio C., 2014. "War affected youth as consumers of microcredit: An application and extension of the Theory of Planned Behaviour," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 239-248.
    7. Hisaki KONO & Kazushi TAKAHASHI, 2010. "Microfinance Revolution: Its Effects, Innovations, And Challenges," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 48(1), pages 15-73, March.
    8. Forah Obebo & Nelson Wawire & Joseph Muniu, 2018. "Effects of Participation of Micro and Small Enterprises in Microfinance on Their Performance in Kenya," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(7), pages 1-78, July.
    9. Lahiri, Bidisha & Daramola, Richard, 2023. "Effects of credit and labor constraints on microenterprises and the unintended impact of changes in household endowments: Use of threshold estimation to detect heterogeneity," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 21-38.
    10. Ranjula Bali Swain & Supriya Garikipati, 2019. "Microfinance in the Global South: Examining Evidence on Social Efficacy," Working Papers 201908, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    11. Rafiatul Adlin Hj Mohd Ruslan & Christopher Gan & Baiding Hu & Nguyen Thi Thieu Quang, 2020. "Impact of Microcredit on SMEs Performance in Malaysia," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 19(1), pages 109-130, June.
    12. Ghulam Hussain, A.K.M. & Nargis, Nigar & Ashiquzzaman, S.M. & Khalil, Fahad, 2019. "The employment impact of microcredit program participation in Bangladesh: Evidence from a longitudinal household survey," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 34-49.
    13. Chester, Winston C. & Alam, Bhuiyan Monwar & Haase, Dwight, 2016. "“One slowly loses everything”: Development and debt in San Antonio Aguas Calientes," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 24-29.
    14. Sefa K. Awaworyi, 2014. "The Impact of Microfinance Interventions: A Meta-analysis," Monash Economics Working Papers 03-14, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    15. Kadyrbek Sultakeev & Kamalbek Karymshakov & Burulcha Sulaimanova, 2018. "The Impact Of Microfinance On Entrepreneurship In Kyrgyzstan," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(2), pages 24-40.
    16. Swain, Ranjula Bali & Varghese, Adel, 2009. "Does Self Help Group Participation Lead to Asset Creation?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 1674-1682, October.
    17. Kazushi TAKAHASHI & Takayuki HIGASHIKATA & Kazunari TSUKADA, 2010. "The Short‐Term Poverty Impact Of Small‐Scale, Collateral‐Free Microcredit In Indonesia: A Matching Estimator Approach," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 48(1), pages 128-155, March.
    18. Namizata Binaté Fofana & Gerrit Antonides & Anke Niehof & Johan Ophem, 2015. "How microfinance empowers women in Côte d’Ivoire," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 1023-1041, December.
    19. Olga Gorelkina & Ioanna Grypari & Erin Hengel, 2019. "One strike and you’re out! The Master Lever’s effect on senatorial policy-making," Working Papers 201906, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    20. Jebarajakirthy, Charles & Lobo, Antonio, 2015. "A study investigating attitudinal perceptions of microcredit services and their relevant drivers in bottom of pyramid market segments," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 39-48.
    21. Padilla-Angulo, Laura & Lasarte-López, Jesús Miguel & Pozo, Pedro Caldentey Del, 2023. "Policy evaluations of microenterprise business support services in Latin America: A systematic review," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    22. Supriya Garikipati & Rebecca J. Docherty & Penelope A. Phillips-Howard, 2019. "What’s the bleeding problem? Policy and attitudes towards sustainable menstrual hygiene materials in India," Working Papers 201907, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    23. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Korankye Danso, Jeffrey & Appau, Samuelson, 2015. "Microcredit and Poverty Reduction in Bangladesh: Beyond Publication Bias, Does Genuine Effect Exist?," EconStor Preprints 123722, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    24. Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge & Armando José Garcia Pires, 2020. "Gender, formality, and entrepreneurial success," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 881-900, December.

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