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Modelling heterogeneity of survival in band-recovery data using mixtures

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  • Shirley Pledger
  • Carl Schwarz

Abstract

Finite mixture methods are applied to bird band-recovery studies to allow for heterogeneity of survival. Birds are assumed to belong to one of finitely many groups, each of which has its own survival rate (or set of survival rates varying by time and/or age). The group to which a specific animal belongs is not known, so its survival probability is a random variable from a finite mixture. Heterogeneity is thus modelled as a latent effect. This gives a wide selection of likelihood-based models, which may be compared using likelihood ratio tests. These models are discussed with reference to real and simulated data, and compared with previous models.

Suggested Citation

  • Shirley Pledger & Carl Schwarz, 2002. "Modelling heterogeneity of survival in band-recovery data using mixtures," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1-4), pages 315-327.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:29:y:2002:i:1-4:p:315-327
    DOI: 10.1080/02664760120108737
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shirley Pledger, 2000. "Unified Maximum Likelihood Estimates for Closed Capture–Recapture Models Using Mixtures," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 56(2), pages 434-442, June.
    2. Robert B. Davies, 2002. "Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative: Linear model case," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(2), pages 484-489, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shirley Pledger & Kenneth H. Pollock & James L. Norris, 2003. "Open Capture-Recapture Models with Heterogeneity: I. Cormack-Jolly-Seber Model," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(4), pages 786-794, December.
    2. Ann E. McKellar & Roland Langrock & Jeffrey R. Walters & Dylan C. Kesler, 2015. "Using mixed hidden Markov models to examine behavioral states in a cooperatively breeding bird," Behavioral Ecology, International Society for Behavioral Ecology, vol. 26(1), pages 148-157.
    3. B. J. T. Morgan & M. S. Ridout, 2008. "A new mixture model for capture heterogeneity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 57(4), pages 433-446, September.

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