IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/japsta/v28y2001i6p691-702.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sensitivity of the portmanteau statistic in time series modeling

Author

Listed:
  • Andy Lee
  • John Yick
  • Yer Van Hui

Abstract

The portmanteau statistic is commonly used for testing goodness-of-fit of time series models. However, this lack of fit test may depend on one or several atypical observations in the series. We investigate the sensitivity of the portmanteau statistic in the presence of additive outliers. Diagnostics are developed to assess both local and global influence. Three practical examples demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed diagnostics.

Suggested Citation

  • Andy Lee & John Yick & Yer Van Hui, 2001. "Sensitivity of the portmanteau statistic in time series modeling," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(6), pages 691-702.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:28:y:2001:i:6:p:691-702
    DOI: 10.1080/02664760120059228
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/02664760120059228
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/02664760120059228?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johannes Ledolter, 1990. "Outlier Diagnostics In Time Series Analysis," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 317-324, July.
    2. Wing K. Fung & C. W. Kwan, 1997. "A Note on Local Influence Based on Normal Curvature," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(4), pages 839-843.
    3. Lilian Shiao‐Yen Wu & J. R. M. Hosking & Nalini Ravishanker, 1993. "Reallocation Outliers in Time Series," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 42(2), pages 301-313, June.
    4. Ledolter, Johannes, 1989. "The effect of additive outliers on the forecasts from ARIMA models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 231-240.
    5. Gomez, Victor & Maravall, Agustin & Pena, Daniel, 1998. "Missing observations in ARIMA models: Skipping approach versus additive outlier approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 341-363, November.
    6. Sabyasachi Basu & Gregory C. Reinsel, 1996. "Relationship between Missing Data Likelihoods and Complete Data Restricted Likelihoods for Regression Time Series Models: An Application to Total Ozone Data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 45(1), pages 63-72, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Doornik, Jurgen A. & Ooms, Marius, 2008. "Multimodality in GARCH regression models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 432-448.
    2. Beatriz Catalan & F. Javier Trivez, 2007. "Forecasting volatility in GARCH models with additive outliers," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(6), pages 591-596.
    3. Alonso, Andres M. & Sipols, Ana E., 2008. "A time series bootstrap procedure for interpolation intervals," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 1792-1805, January.
    4. Grané, Aurea & Veiga, Helena, 2010. "Outliers in Garch models and the estimation of risk measures," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100502, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    5. Jussi Tolvi, 2001. "Outliers in eleven Finnish macroeconomic time series," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 14-32, Spring.
    6. Neil Shephard & Dacheng Xiu, 2012. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: efficient positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices," Economics Series Working Papers 604, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    7. Gu, Hong & Fung, Wing K., 2001. "Influence Diagnostics in Common Principal Components Analysis," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 275-294, November.
    8. Francesco Battaglia & Lia Orfei, 2005. "Outlier Detection And Estimation In NonLinear Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 107-121, January.
    9. Manuel Galea & Gilberto Paula & Miguel Uribe-Opazo, 2003. "On influence diagnostic in univariate elliptical linear regression models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 23-45, January.
    10. H. W. Wayne Yang & Po-Wei Shen & An-Sing Chen, 2020. "Trimming Effects And Momentum Investing," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 14(2), pages 73-87.
    11. Carlos Carrillo‐Tudela & Ludo Visschers, 2023. "Unemployment and Endogenous Reallocation Over the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(3), pages 1119-1153, May.
    12. Preminger, Arie & Franck, Raphael, 2007. "Forecasting exchange rates: A robust regression approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 71-84.
    13. Ortega, Edwin M.M. & Cordeiro, Gauss M. & Lemonte, Artur J., 2012. "A log-linear regression model for the β-Birnbaum–Saunders distribution with censored data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 698-718.
    14. Onali, Enrico & Goddard, John, 2011. "Are European equity markets efficient? New evidence from fractal analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 59-67, April.
    15. H. Glendinning, Richard, 2001. "Selecting sub-set autoregressions from outlier contaminated data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 179-207, April.
    16. Liu, Min & Taylor, James W. & Choo, Wei-Chong, 2020. "Further empirical evidence on the forecasting of volatility with smooth transition exponential smoothing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 651-659.
    17. Claudio Agostinelli & Luisa Bisaglia, 2010. "ARFIMA processes and outliers: a weighted likelihood approach," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 1569-1584.
    18. Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2019. "Forecasting with a hybrid method utilizing data smoothing, a variation of the Theta method and shrinkage of seasonal factors," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 92-102.
    19. Bali, Rakesh & Guirguis, Hany, 2007. "Extreme observations and non-normality in ARCH and GARCH," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 332-346.
    20. Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso & Grassi, Stefano, 2018. "A data-cleaning augmented Kalman filter for robust estimation of state space models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 107-123.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:28:y:2001:i:6:p:691-702. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/CJAS20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.