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Integration of African Stock Markets with the Developed Stock Markets: An Analysis of Co-Movements, Volatility and Contagion

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  • Izunna Anyikwa
  • Pierre Le Roux

Abstract

This paper investigates evidence of integration and contagion between major African stock markets (ASMs) and developed stock markets during the periods of global financial crisis (GFC) and Eurozone sovereign debt crisis (ESDC). Specifically, it examined whether the co-movement between ASMs and developed stock markets during the two crisis periods is related to their level of financial integration or due to contagion. The study finds limited evidence of integration between ASMs and developed markets. However, the analysis of dynamic correlations shows that the conditional correlations are typically positive and higher during the periods of crisis, indicating substantial evidence of contagion. These findings suggest that the observed co-movements between stock markets during the crises were mainly due to contagion. The findings of this paper have several implications with respect to financial market stability, portfolio diversification and policy interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Izunna Anyikwa & Pierre Le Roux, 2020. "Integration of African Stock Markets with the Developed Stock Markets: An Analysis of Co-Movements, Volatility and Contagion," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 279-296, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:34:y:2020:i:2:p:279-296
    DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2020.1755715
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    Cited by:

    1. Atipaga, Umar-Farouk & Alagidede, Imhotep & Tweneboah, George, 2025. "Information flow between stock returns of advanced markets and emerging African economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    2. Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "How far have we come and where should we go after 30+ years of research on Africa's emerging financial markets? A systematic review and a bibliometric network analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Del Lo, Gaye & Yuni, Denis, 2023. "Global commodity and equity markets spillovers to Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Louis Logogye & Godfred Aawaar & Kwasi Poku, 2024. "Regional and global shock spillovers to Africa’s equity markets: evidence from the global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(12), pages 1-31, December.
    5. Joseph Chukwudi Odionye & Ethelbert Ukachukwu Ojiaku & Ndubuisi Agoh & Chikeziem F. Okorontah & Roy M. Okpara & Callistus Ogu, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and equity index in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries: accounting for multiple structural breaks in a panel framework," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(6), pages 1-30, June.
    6. Abubakar Jamaladeen & David E. Omoregie & Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir, 2022. "A regime-switching skew-normal model of contagion in some selected stock markets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(12), pages 1-20, December.
    7. Bossman, Ahmed & Umar, Zaghum & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "The impact of the US yield curve on sub-Saharan African equities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Abdou, Hussein A. & Elamer, Ahmed A. & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Ibrahim, Bassam A., 2024. "The impact of oil and global markets on Saudi stock market predictability: A machine learning approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Teplova, Tamara & Marfo-Yiadom, Edward, 2024. "Does time-varying risk aversion sentiment matter in the connectedness among Sub-Saharan African bond markets?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    10. Artem Stopochkin & Inessa Sytnik & Janusz Wielki & Nataliia Zemlianska, 2021. "Methodology for Building Trader's Investment Strategy Based on Assessment of the Market Value of the Company," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 913-935.
    11. Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness between global commodity sectors, news sentiment, and sub-Saharan African equities," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    12. Asafo-Adjei, Emmanuel & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2024. "Risk synchronization in Australia stock market: A sector analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 582-610.
    13. Bossman, Ahmed & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku, 2022. "Interdependence structure of global commodity classes and African equity markets: A vector wavelet coherence analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

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