Using past violence and current news to predict changes in violence
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DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2022.2063853
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- Mueller, H. & Rauh, C., 2022. "Using Past Violence and Current News to Predict Changes in Violence," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2220, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Mueller, H. & Rauh, C., 2022. "Using Past Violence and Current News to Predict Changes in Violence," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2209, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
References listed on IDEAS
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2022.
"The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(6), pages 2440-2467.
- Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2019. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," CEPR Discussion Papers 13748, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2019. "The hard problem of prediction for conflict prevention," Cahiers de recherche 2019-02, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2021. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Working Papers 1244, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Mueller, H. & Rauh, C., 2021. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2103, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Mueller, H. & Rauh, C., 2020. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2015, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2019. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Cahiers de recherche 02-2019, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2018.
"Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text,"
American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 112(2), pages 358-375, May.
- Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2016. "Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text," CEPR Discussion Papers 11516, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2017. "Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text," Working Papers 990, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2016. "Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text," Empirical Studies of Conflict Project (ESOC) Working Papers 2, Empirical Studies of Conflict Project.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2016. "Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1630, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Citations
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Cited by:
- Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022.
"The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting,"
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- Diakonova, M. & Molina, L. & Mueller, H. & Pérez, J. J. & Rauh, C., 2024. "The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2418, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Diakonova, M. & Molina, L. & Mueller, H. & Pérez, J. J. & Rauh, C., 2024. "The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2413, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Racek, Daniel & Thurner, Paul W. & Davidson, Brittany I. & Zhu, Xiao Xiang & Kauermann, Göran, 2024. "Conflict forecasting using remote sensing data: An application to the Syrian civil war," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 373-391.
- Diakonova, Marina & Ghirelli, Corinna & Molina, Luis & Pérez, Javier J., 2023.
"The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: The case of Russia,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 69-90.
- Marina Diakonova & Corinna Ghirelli & Javier J. Pérez & Luis Molina, 2022. "The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: the case of Russia," Working Papers 2242, Banco de España.
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More about this item
JEL classification:
- F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
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