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Mean-reversion properties of implied volatilities

Author

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  • Florian Ielpo
  • Guillaume Simon

Abstract

In this paper, we present a new stylized fact for options whose underlying asset is a stock index. Extracting implied volatility time series from call and put options on the Deutscher Aktien index (DAX) and financial times stock exchange index (FTSE), we show that the persistence of these volatilities depends on the moneyness of the options used for its computation. Using a functional autoregressive model, we show that this effect is statistically significant. Surprisingly, we show that the diffusion-based stochastic volatility models are not consistent with this stylized fact. Finally, we argue that adding jumps to a diffusion-based volatility model help recovering this volatility pattern. This suggests that the persistence of implied volatilities can be related to the tails of the underlying volatility process: this corroborates the intuition that the liquidity of the options across moneynesses introduces an additional risk factor to the one usually considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Florian Ielpo & Guillaume Simon, 2010. "Mean-reversion properties of implied volatilities," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 587-610.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:16:y:2010:i:6:p:587-610
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2010.481463
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    Cited by:

    1. Matúš Maciak & Sebastiano Vitali, 2024. "Using interpolated implied volatility for analysing exogenous market changes," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-21, June.
    2. Sebastiano Vitali & Miloš Kopa & Gabriele Giana, 2023. "Implied volatility smoothing at COVID-19 times," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-42, December.

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