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Introduction of International Accounting Standards, Disclosure Quality and Accuracy of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts

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  • Martin Glaum
  • Jörg Baetge
  • Alexander Grothe
  • Tatjana Oberdörster

Abstract

We examine whether the introduction of international accounting standards by German companies has improved the accuracy of analysts' forecasts, and what role changes in the quality of disclosures have played in this process. We develop a structural equation model that allows us to separate the effects of changes in disclosure quality from other effects of the introduction of international accounting standards on forecast errors. Our sample comprises 1,908 firm-years covering the period from 1997 to 2005. We measure disclosure quality with data from a yearly annual-report competition. We find that the introduction of international accounting standards has been associated with a significant improvement in forecast accuracy. Increases in the quality of companies' disclosures appear to have contributed to this improvement. However, the disclosure effect, while significant, explains only a small portion of the overall improvement in forecast accuracy. Further analyses show that differences in disclosure quality are more relevant for German GAAP companies than for IFRS/US GAAP companies. Moreover, only the quality of notes to companies' financial statements appears to matter to analysts; the quality of management reports appears to make no difference. Our results are robust to a variety of tests concerning the sample composition, the operationalisation of variables and the estimation procedure.

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  • Martin Glaum & Jörg Baetge & Alexander Grothe & Tatjana Oberdörster, 2013. "Introduction of International Accounting Standards, Disclosure Quality and Accuracy of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 79-116, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:euract:v:22:y:2013:i:1:p:79-116
    DOI: 10.1080/09638180.2011.558301
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    1. Christopher F Baum, 2006. "An Introduction to Modern Econometrics using Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LLC, number imeus, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Galanti, Sébastien, 2016. "Archival data of financial analysts' earnings forecasts in the euro zone: Problems with euro conversions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 466-473.
    2. Gaëlle Lenormand & Lionel Touchais, 2017. "The Financial Analysts' Forecasts And The Intangible: Do The Ias/Ifrs Lead To An Improvement? [Les Previsions Des Analystes Financiers Et Les Incorporels : Les Ias/Ifrs Apportent-Elles Une Ameliora," Post-Print hal-03125440, HAL.
    3. Matthias Demmer & Paul Pronobis & Teri Lombardi Yohn, 2019. "Mandatory IFRS adoption and analyst forecast accuracy: the role of financial statement-based forecasts and analyst characteristics," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 1022-1065, September.
    4. D. Pankov A. & L. Makhanko S. & Д. Панков А. & Л. Маханько С., 2019. "Тенденции развития нефинансовой отчетности в контексте формирования информационного поля анализа устойчивости экономических субъектов // Development Trends of Non-Financial Reporting in the Creation o," Учет. Анализ. Аудит // Accounting. Analysis. Auditing, ФГОБУВО "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 6(3), pages 15-24.
    5. Eduardo Flores & Marco Fasan & Wesley Mendes‐da‐Silva & Joelson Oliveira Sampaio, 2019. "Integrated reporting and capital markets in an international setting: The role of financial analysts," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(7), pages 1465-1480, November.
    6. Flagmeier, Vanessa & Müller, Jens, 2016. "Tax loss carryforward disclosure and uncertainty," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 208, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    7. Cho, Meeok & Kim, Sehee & Kim, Yewon & Lee, Bryan Byung-Hee & Lee, Woo-Jong, 2021. "IFRS adoption and stock misvaluation: Implication to Korea discount," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Mari Paananen & Annelies Renders & Marita Blomkvist, 2016. "Causes and Consequences of Improvements in the Information Environment for Swedish Small and Mid-Sized Firms," Accounting in Europe, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 21-42, April.
    9. Isabel Costa Lourenço & Raquel Sarquis & Manuel Castelo Branco & Nuno Magro, 2018. "International Differences in Accounting Practices Under IFRS and the Influence of the US," Australian Accounting Review, CPA Australia, vol. 28(4), pages 468-481, December.
    10. Devalle, Alain & Rizzato, Fabio & Busso, Donatella, 2016. "Disclosure indexes and compliance with mandatory disclosure—The case of intangible assets in the Italian market," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 8-25.
    11. Pathiranage, Nandana P.W. & Jubb, Christine A., 2018. "Does IFRS make analysts more efficient in using fundamental information included in financial statements?," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 373-385.
    12. John Preiato & Philip Brown & Ann Tarca, 2015. "A Comparison of Between-Country Measures of Legal Setting and Enforcement of Accounting Standards," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1-2), pages 1-50, January.
    13. Md. Rezaul Karim & Atia Ibnat Riya, 2022. "Compliance of disclosure requirements of IFRS 15: an empirical evidence from developing economy," International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(3), pages 301-312, September.
    14. Mazzi, Francesco & Slack, Richard & Tsalavoutas, Ioannis & Tsoligkas, Fanis, 2019. "Country-level corruption and accounting choice: Research & development capitalization under IFRS," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(5).
    15. Franzen, Nina & Weißenberger, Barbara E., 2018. "Capital market effects of mandatory IFRS 8 adoption: An empirical analysis of German firms," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-19.
    16. Göttsche, Max & Küster, Stephan & Steindl, Tobias, 2021. "The usefulness of Non-IFRS segment data," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    17. Nathan Zhenghang Zhu & Kun Tracy Wang & Mark Wilson, 2022. "The Effect of Conditional Management Earnings Forecast Mandates on Voluntary Disclosure and Analyst Forecast Properties," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(3), pages 479-522, September.
    18. Genevé Richard & Elza Odendaal, 2020. "Integrated reporting assurance practices—a study of South African firms," International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(4), pages 245-266, December.
    19. Cuadrado-Ballesteros, Beatriz & Martínez-Ferrero, Jennifer & García-Sánchez, Isabel María, 2017. "Mitigating information asymmetry through sustainability assurance: The role of accountants and levels of assurance," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1141-1156.
    20. Barniv, Ran R. & Myring, Mark & Westfall, Tiffany, 2022. "Does IFRS experience improve analyst performance?," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    21. Stefano Azzali & Tatiana Mazza, 2018. "The Internal Audit Effectiveness Evaluated with an Organizational, Process and Relationship Perspective," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(6), pages 238-238, April.

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