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A goodness-of-fit test for regular vine copula models

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  • Ulf Schepsmeier

Abstract

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for regular vine (R-vine) copula models, a very flexible class of multivariate copulas based on a pair-copula construction (PCC). The test arises from White’s information matrix test and extends an existing goodness-of-fit test for copulas. The corresponding critical value can be approximated by asymptotic theory or simulation. The simulation based test shows excellent performance with regard to observed size and power in an extensive simulation study, while the asymptotic theory based test is inadequate for n≤10,000 for a 5-dimensional model (in d = 8 even 20,000 are not enough). The simulation based test is applied to select among different R-vine specifications modeling the dependency among exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulf Schepsmeier, 2019. "A goodness-of-fit test for regular vine copula models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 25-46, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:38:y:2019:i:1:p:25-46
    DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2016.1222231
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    Cited by:

    1. Sun Meng & Yan Chen, 2023. "Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    2. Wang, Hao & Dong, Yizhe & Sun, Mingli & Shi, Baofeng & Ji, Hao, 2024. "Dynamic dependence of futures basis between the Chinese and international grains markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    3. Zhikai Peng & Jinchuan Ke, 2022. "Spillover Effect of the Interaction between Fintech and the Real Economy Based on Tail Risk Dependent Structure Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, June.

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