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Measuring the export capability of South African regions

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  • Waldo Krugell
  • Marianne Matthee

Abstract

Recent research has identified what determines local exports and what policies might make them grow. Regions with higher Gross Domestic Product per capita, faster population growth, higher levels of skills, greater export diversification and shorter distances to ports have experienced faster export growth. However, the results of regression models apply to a theoretical representative region and do not allow one to establish where policy interventions will be most effective. This article constructs an index to identify the regions in South Africa that can export manufactured goods. It draws on the literature of the determinants of exports for indicators of the capability (or potential) to export across 354 magisterial districts in 1996 and 2001. The results show a positive relationship between export capability and export performance. The article identifies a number of front-runner magisterial districts along with those of high capability but low performance that stand to benefit most from industrial policy interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Waldo Krugell & Marianne Matthee, 2009. "Measuring the export capability of South African regions," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 459-476.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:deveza:v:26:y:2009:i:3:p:459-476
    DOI: 10.1080/03768350903086838
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano & Diego Puga, 1998. "Agglomeration in the Global Economy: A Survey of the ‘New Economic Geography’," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(6), pages 707-731, August.
    2. Anthony Venables, 2001. "Geography and International Inequalities: The Impact of New Technologies," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 135-159, June.
    3. G Ottaviano & Diego Puga, 1997. "Agglomeration in a global Economy: A Survey," CEP Discussion Papers dp0356, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    4. Torfinn Harding & Jørn Rattsø, 2005. "The barrier model of productivity growth: South Africa," Discussion Papers 425, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
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    Cited by:

    1. Har Sandeep Kaur, 2016. "Services Exports and SAARC Countries: A Comparative Analysis of Growth, Performance and Competitive Advantage," Millennial Asia, , vol. 7(1), pages 20-41, April.
    2. Kgare, Tshepo & Raballand, Gael & Ittmann, Hans W., 2011. "Cargo dwell time in Durban : lessons for Sub-Saharan African ports," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5794, The World Bank.
    3. Noleen Pisa & Wilma Viviers & Riaan Rossouw, 2017. "Enhancing Industrial Cluster Formation Through the Realistic Export Opportunities of the TRADE-DSM," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(3), pages 386-404, September.
    4. Macleans MZUMARA* & Anna CHINGARANDE*, 2016. "Inter-Sectoral Comparative And Competitive Advantages Of South Africa," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 26(1), pages 1-14.
    5. Yagoub Elryah, 2019. "On the Priorities of Comparative Advantage of Agro-industry Commodities: the way towards Economic Transformation," Research in Business and Management, Macrothink Institute, vol. 6(1), pages 13-47, February.

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