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The impact of political instability on the economic growth of ECOWAS member countries

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  • Godwin Okafor

Abstract

This study contributes to the literature on political instability and economic growth by specifically investigating the impact of political instability on the economic growth of member countries of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). West Africa is regarded as the riskiest sub-region within the African continent. To achieve this objective, this study employed panel data techniques (fixed effects and generalised method of moments) on a sample of 15 ECOWAS member countries for the period 2005–2012. The findings from the analyses showed that terrorism, poor governance, social unrest, youth unemployment, death rate and natural resource rent have negative relationships with economic growth. The findings and policy implications deduced from this study could not have been any timelier considering the recent escalation of instability in West African countries and their fragile growth prospects.

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  • Godwin Okafor, 2017. "The impact of political instability on the economic growth of ECOWAS member countries," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 208-229, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:28:y:2017:i:2:p:208-229
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2015.1092206
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    1. Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson, 2007. "Disease and Development: The Effect of Life Expectancy on Economic Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 115(6), pages 925-985, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Samba Diop & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Recent Political Conflicts in Africa: Generalized Synthetic Counterfactual Evidence," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 21/060, African Governance and Development Institute..
    2. Samba Diop & Simplice A. Asongu, 2023. "Trust Institutions, Perceptions of Economic Performance and the Mitigating role of Political Diversity in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 23/013, African Governance and Development Institute..
    3. Xiaojuan He & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Melike Torun & Zecheng Li, 2021. "Modeling Economic Risk in the QISMUT Countries: Evidence From Nonlinear Cointegration Tests," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
    4. Godwin Okafor & Sydney Chikalipah, 2021. "Estimating the effect of terrorism on agricultural production in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 703-714, December.
    5. Li, Kaixian & Wang, Dongyu & Xu, Tong & Zhang, Yuqi, 2024. "Financial development and resource-curse hypothesis: Moderating role of internal and external conflict in the MENA region," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Rexford Abaidoo & Elvis Kwame Agyapong, 2022. "Commodity price volatility, inflation uncertainty and political stability," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 69(3), pages 351-381, September.
    7. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Ojong, Nathanael, 2024. "Heterogeneous Effects of Frontier Technology Readiness on Economic Growth in Africa," MPRA Paper 121247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Shettima, Abdulkadir & Elheddad, Mohammed & Bassim, Mohga & Alfar, Abdelrahman J.K., 2023. "The impact of conflict on energy poverty: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    9. repec:aly:journl:202209 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Benjamin Fomba Kamga & Dieu Ne Dort Talla Fokam & Paul Ningaye, 2022. "Political instability and youths unemployment in sub‐Saharan Africa," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1850-1879, August.
    11. Mihaela Simionescu & Dalia Streimikiene & Wadim Strielkowski, 2020. "What Does Google Trends Tell Us about the Impact of Brexit on the Unemployment Rate in the UK?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-10, January.
    12. Chukwuemeka Valentine Okolo & Jun Wen & Kibir Kolani, 2024. "Research Assessment on the Extreme Social Events in Africa—Evidence from a Bibliometric Analysis Using Web of Science and CiteSpace," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 11449-11494, September.
    13. Fernando Tohmé & M. Ángeles Caraballo & Carlos Dabús, 2022. "Instability, political regimes and economic growth. A theoretical framework," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 291-317, February.
    14. Samba Diop & Simplice A. Asongu, 2022. "Trust Institutions, Perceptions of Economic Performance and the Mitigating role of Political Diversity," Working Papers 22/056, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    15. Wang, Jun-Zhuo & Feng, Gen-Fu & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2024. "How does political instability affect renewable energy innovation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    16. Esra Soyu Yıldırım & Cuma Demirtaş & Munise Ilıkkan Özgür, 2022. "Causality Relationship Between Economic, Financial, Political Risk and Growth: The Case of Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 165-186, January.
    17. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Vezzulli, Andrea, 2024. "Heterogeneous Effects of Frontier Technology Readiness on Economic Growth in Africa," MPRA Paper 121246, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Vezzulli, Andrea, 2024. "Heterogeneous Effects of Frontier Technology Readiness on Economic Growth in Africa," EconStor Preprints 298787, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    19. Mohamed Maher & Yanzhi Zhao, 2022. "Do Political Instability and Military Expenditure Undermine Economic Growth in Egypt? Evidence from the ARDL Approach," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(8), pages 956-979, November.
    20. Dervis Kirikkaleli, 2020. "Does political risk matter for economic and financial risks in Venezuela?," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.

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