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Does political risk matter for economic and financial risks in Venezuela?

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  • Dervis Kirikkaleli

    (European University of Lefke)

Abstract

In this paper, the time–frequency dependency of political risk as well as economic and financial risks is explored in Venezuela using quarterly data from 1984Q1 to 2018Q4. The present study uses the wavelet coherence technique, which allows the investigation of both the long and short-term causal relationships between political risk and economic and financial risks in Venezuela. The findings of this study indicate that: (i) significant vulnerabilities in political risk, economic risk, and financial risk are observed at different time periods and different frequency levels; (ii) political risk has a strong power for explaining economic risk from 1995 to 2005 in the long run, while between 1984 and 2010, economic risk and political risk are positively correlated at different frequency levels; (iii) in the long run, changes in political risk significantly lead to changes in financial risk in Venezuela.

Suggested Citation

  • Dervis Kirikkaleli, 2020. "Does political risk matter for economic and financial risks in Venezuela?," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecstr:v:9:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1186_s40008-020-0188-5
    DOI: 10.1186/s40008-020-0188-5
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    17. Rahman, Sami Ur & Faisal, Faisal & Ali, Adnan & Mansor, Nur Naha Abu & Ul Haq, Zahoor & Sulimany, Hamid Ghazi H & Ramakrishnan, Suresh, 2024. "Assessing Country Risk in the Stock Market and Economic Growth Nexus: Fresh Insights from Bootstrap Panel Causality," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 294-302.
    18. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Azam, Muhammad & Bruna, Maria Giuseppina & Verhoeven, Peter & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2022. "Sustainable development: The impact of political risk, macroeconomic policy uncertainty and ethnic conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
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    20. Pham Thi, Thuy Dung & Do, Hai Dung & Paramaiah, Ch & Duong, Nam Tien & Pham, Van Kien & Shamansurova, Zilola, 2023. "Sustainable economic performance and natural resource price volatility in the post-covid-pandemic: Evidence using GARCH models in Chinese context," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
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