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The Demography of Indonesia in Comparative Perspective

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  • Peter McDonald

Abstract

Having reduced its fertility rate over the past 40 years, Indonesia has reached a new demographic crossroad. Its fertility rate is now around 2.5 births per woman, which, if sustained, would add substantial numbers to Indonesia's population in the future. There are concerns within Indonesia that the present level of population growth is an obstacle to continued economic development and, accordingly, that fertility should be reduced to the replacement level of 2.1 births per woman as soon as possible. Yet a comparative perspective indicates that countries such as Singapore, Japan, and Thailand are concerned about the effects that their very low rates of fertility are having on their labour forces and their rates of population ageing. This article suggests that with the right policy settings Indonesia can avoid this outcome yet continue to reduce its fertility. It discusses the implications of Indonesia's population growth and distribution for its economy, as well as the poor quality of demographic data.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter McDonald, 2014. "The Demography of Indonesia in Comparative Perspective," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 29-52, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:bindes:v:50:y:2014:i:1:p:29-52
    DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2014.896236
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. World Bank, 2013. "Indonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2013 : Pressures Mounting," World Bank Publications - Reports 16614, The World Bank Group.
    2. World Bank, 2013. "Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2013 : Adjusting to Pressures," World Bank Publications - Reports 16613, The World Bank Group.
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    Cited by:

    1. van der Eng, Pierre & Sohn, Kitae, 2019. "The biological standard of living in Indonesia during the 20th century: Evidence from the age at menarche," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 216-224.
    2. Yusuf Sofiyandi1, 2018. "The Effect of Residential Location and Housing Unit Characteristics on Labor Force Participation of Childbearing Women in Indonesia: Using Twin Births As A Quasi-Natural Experiment," LPEM FEBUI Working Papers 201822, LPEM, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, revised Jul 2018.
    3. Anna (Anya) Phelan & Helen Ross & Novie Andri Setianto & Kelly Fielding & Lengga Pradipta, 2020. "Ocean plastic crisis—Mental models of plastic pollution from remote Indonesian coastal communities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(7), pages 1-29, July.
    4. Udi Sommer, 2018. "Women, Demography, and Politics: How Lower Fertility Rates Lead to Democracy," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(2), pages 559-586, April.
    5. Ariane Utomo & Peter McDonald & Iwu Utomo & Terence Hull, 2021. "Do Individuals with Higher Education Prefer Smaller Families? Education, Fertility Preference and the Value of Children in Greater Jakarta," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 14(1), pages 139-161, February.

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