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On the empirics of risk-sharing across MENA countries

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  • Faruk Balli
  • Hatice Ozer Balli

Abstract

In this article, we compute the potential welfare gains and the realized gains from risk-sharing among Middle East and North African (MENA) countries, including the oil-rich Gulf region and the resource-scarce economies. We find that the overall potential welfare gains across MENA countries are positive for all countries under the assumption of full risk-sharing. The potential welfare gains among the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are positive even though the magnitudes are smaller compared to those of the rest of the MENA region. We also quantify the extent of risk-sharing for the MENA region and show that it is significant for the MENA region and its subgroups; however, we could not find any sign of inter-temporal smoothing across the same groups. Decomposing the aggregate output shocks shows that the extent of risk-sharing is significant when only positive output shocks exist across the resource-scarce MENA economies. However, we observe that GCC countries share output risks with each other even under negative output shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Faruk Balli & Hatice Ozer Balli, 2013. "On the empirics of risk-sharing across MENA countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(23), pages 3370-3377, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3370-3377
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.687099
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sturm, Michael & Siegfried, Nikolaus, 2005. "Regional monetary integration in the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council," Occasional Paper Series 31, European Central Bank.
    2. Hebous, Shafik, 2006. "On the monetary union of the Gulf States," Kiel Advanced Studies Working Papers 431, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Michael Sturm & Nikolaus Siegfried, 2005. "Regional monetary integration in the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council," Occasional Paper Series 31, European Central Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Silva & Alex Ferreira, 2023. "Risk-sharing within Brazil and South America," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 661-695, August.
    2. Faruk Balli & Filippo Maria Pericoli & Eleonora Pierucci, 2016. "Channels of Risk Sharing at Micro Level: Savings, Investments and Risk Aversion Heterogeneity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 90-104, January.
    3. Faruk Balli & Eleonora Pierucci, 2015. "Globalization and international risk-sharing: do political and social factors matter more than economic integration?," CAMA Working Papers 2015-04, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    4. Souhir Chlibi & Fredj Jawadi & Mohamed Sellami, 2016. "Analyzing Heterogeneous Stock Price Comovements Through Hybrid Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 541-559, July.

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