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Currency crises and the stock market: empirical evidence for another type of twin crisis

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  • Stefan Eichler
  • Dominik Maltritz

Abstract

We explore the dependency between currency crises and the stock market in emerging economies. Our focus is two-fold. First, the risk of a currency crisis rises as the foreign stake in the domestic stock market increases. Successful economies with high capital flows into their booming stock markets especially are prone to stock market-induced currency crises. Second, we apply the dividend growth model to show that stock markets crash in the run-up to a currency crisis. This new type of twin crisis is empirically tested by employing a logit framework using quarterly data for 33 emerging economies for 1994Q1-2007Q4.

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  • Stefan Eichler & Dominik Maltritz, 2011. "Currency crises and the stock market: empirical evidence for another type of twin crisis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(29), pages 4561-4587.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4561-4587
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491474
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Byung Chan Ahn, 2008. "Capital flows and effects on financial markets in Korea: developments and policy responses," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial globalisation and emerging market capital flows, volume 44, pages 305-320, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Corsetti, Giancarlo & MacKowiak, Bartosz, 2000. "Nominal Debt and the Dynamics of Currency Crises," Center Discussion Papers 28516, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xingwang Qian & Andreas Steiner, 2014. "International Reserves and the Composition of Foreign Equity Investment," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 379-409, May.
    2. Nikolaos Stoupos & Apostolos Kiohos, 2021. "BREXIT referendum’s impact on the financial markets in the UK," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(1), pages 1-19, February.

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