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Identifiability of the misspecified split hazard models

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  • Sanjiv Jaggia

Abstract

Unlike standard models, a split population hazard model allows the exit probability to be less than one. Although conceptually attractive, split models are prone to identification problems. In the reduced form estimation of the hazard function, the influence of split may not be distinguishable from that of neglected heterogeneity. For illustration, I use Monte Carlo simulations to highlight the problem of interpreting the structural parameters of the split Weibull and the Weibull-gamma models.

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  • Sanjiv Jaggia, 2011. "Identifiability of the misspecified split hazard models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(24), pages 3441-3447.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3441-3447
    DOI: 10.1080/00036841003652422
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jaggia, Sanjiv & Thosar, Satish, 1995. "Contested Tender Offers: An Estimate of the Hazard Function," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(1), pages 113-119, January.
    2. Kostas G. Mavromaras & Chris D. Orme, 2004. "Temporary layoffs and split population models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 49-67.
    3. DeYoung, Robert, 2003. "The failure of new entrants in commercial banking markets: a split-population duration analysis," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 7-33.
    4. Schmidt, Peter & Witte, Ann Dryden, 1989. "Predicting criminal recidivism using 'split population' survival time models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 141-159, January.
    5. Chang, Hsin-Li & Yeh, Tsu-Hurng, 2007. "Exploratory analysis of motorcycle holding time heterogeneity using a split-population duration model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 587-596, July.
    6. Bandopadhyaya, Arindam & Jaggia, Sanjiv, 2001. "An analysis of second time around bankruptcies using a split-population duration model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 201-218, May.
    7. David Madden, 2007. "Tobacco taxes and starting and quitting smoking: does the effect differ by education?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(5), pages 613-627.
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