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Reconsidering the impact of national soccer results on the FTSE 100*

* This paper is a replication of an original study

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  • Christian Klein
  • Bernhard Zwergel
  • J. Henning Fock

Abstract

In past decades, many empirical studies revealed return anomalies in many different asset classes and markets. Very recent publications have, however, even found evidence that stock markets react to the results of soccer matches. In this article, we argue that such empirical studies should be analysed carefully; we thus endorse the use of replication studies to verify results. Consequently, by rebuilding the study of Ashton et al. (2003), we are able to detect mistakes in the empirical set-up. Based on these findings, we demonstrate how even minor flaws can have a crucial influence on the results of such studies and point out pitfalls that are frequently encountered. We furthermore emphasize the importance of robustness checks to validate the results of empirical studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Klein & Bernhard Zwergel & J. Henning Fock, 2009. "Reconsidering the impact of national soccer results on the FTSE 100," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(25), pages 3287-3294.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3287-3294
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112471
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lisa A. Kramer & Mark J. Kamstra & Maurice D. Levi, 2000. "Losing Sleep at the Market: The Daylight Saving Anomaly," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(4), pages 1005-1011, September.
    2. David Hirshleifer & Tyler Shumway, 2003. "Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1009-1032, June.
    3. J. K. Ashton & B. Gerrard & R. Hudson, 2003. "Economic impact of national sporting success: evidence from the London stock exchange," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(12), pages 783-785.
    4. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
    5. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    6. Wessel Marquering & Johan Nisser & Toni Valla, 2006. "Disappearing anomalies: a dynamic analysis of the persistence of anomalies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 291-302.
    7. Hubbard, Raymond & Vetter, Daniel E., 1996. "An empirical comparison of published replication research in accounting, economics, finance, management, and marketing," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 153-164, February.
    8. Alex Edmans & Diego García & Øyvind Norli, 2007. "Sports Sentiment and Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1967-1998, August.
    9. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. J. K. Ashton & B. Gerrard & R. Hudson, 2011. "Do national soccer results really impact on the stock market?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(26), pages 3709-3717.
    2. Saggu, Aman & Ante, Lennart & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Anticipatory gains and event-driven losses in blockchain-based fan tokens: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    3. Cauthorn, Thomas & Dumrose, Maurice & Eckert, Julia & Klein, Christian & Zwergel, Bernhard, 2023. "Rating changes revisited: New evidence on short-term ESG momentum," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Sascha Kolaric & Zvonimir Pusic & Dirk Schiereck, 2015. "Fußball und Anlegerverhalt en im internationalen Vergleich: Evidenz von 12 Kontinentalmeisterschaften," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 297-328, September.
    5. Christian Klein & Bernhard Zwergel & Sebastian Heiden, 2009. "On the existence of sports sentiment: the relation between football match results and stock index returns in Europe," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 191-208, November.
    6. Bauckloh, Tobias & Heiden, Sebastian & Klein, Christian & Zwergel, Bernhard, 2019. "New evidence on the impact of the English national soccer team on the FTSE 100," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 61-67.
    7. Scharnowski, Matthias & Scharnowski, Stefan & Zimmermann, Lukas, 2023. "Fan tokens: Sports and speculation on the blockchain," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    8. Truong, Quang-Thai & Tran, Quynh-Nhu & Bakry, Walid & Nguyen, Duc Nguyen & Al-Mohamad, Somar, 2021. "Football sentiment and stock market returns: Evidence from a frontier market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    9. Fung, Ka Wai Terence & Demir, Ender & Lau, Marco Chi Keung & Chan, Kwok Ho, 2013. "An Examination of Sports Event Sentiment: Microeconomic Evidence from Borsa Istanbul," MPRA Paper 52874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Rößle, Florian, 2020. "Analyse des Einflusses nationaler Nachhaltigkeits-Regelungen auf den Unternehmenswert," Junior Management Science (JUMS), Junior Management Science e. V., vol. 5(2), pages 209-222.
    11. Jerome Geyer-Klingeberg & Markus Hang & Matthias Walter & Andreas Rathgeber, 2018. "Do stock markets react to soccer games? A meta-regression analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(19), pages 2171-2189, April.

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    Replication

    This item is a replication of:
  • J. K. Ashton & B. Gerrard & R. Hudson, 2003. "Economic impact of national sporting success: evidence from the London stock exchange," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(12), pages 783-785.

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