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A cointegrated structural VAR model of the Canadian economy

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  • William Crowder
  • Mark Wohar

Abstract

This paper implements a cointegrated structural VAR model of the Canadian economy using quarterly data over the period 1964-1994. The dynamic properties of the estimated model are compared to the predictions of a simple textbook macro model. Four long-run equilibrium relationships are tested: (i) consumption-income; (ii) consumption-wealth; (iii) money demand; and (iv) the Fisher equation. The empirical results obtained are generally consistent with the predictions of the textbook model's long-run implications, although level shifts are observed in the consumption/income and the wealth/income ratios. Similarly it is found that there was an increase in the ex post real interest rate, implying a level shift in the Fisher relation, following the Bank of Canada's policy change towards a stable price level target.

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  • William Crowder & Mark Wohar, 2004. "A cointegrated structural VAR model of the Canadian economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 195-213.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:195-213
    DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175325
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    2. Par Osterholm, 2008. "A structural Bayesian VAR for model-based fan charts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(12), pages 1557-1569.
    3. Idrovo Aguirre, Byron & Contreras, Javier, 2015. "Back-splicing of cement production and characterization of its economic cycle: The case of Chile (1991-2015)," MPRA Paper 67387, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2015.

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