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The impact of budget deficits on national saving in the USA

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  • Gyan Pradhan
  • Kamal Upadhyaya

Abstract

This paper analyses the effect of government budget deficits on national saving in the USA utilizing annual time series data from 1967 to 1996. A model that includes budget deficits, money supply, real exchange rate, real interest rate, and the proportion of working age population to total population to explain national saving is developed. After examining the time series properties of the data an error correction model is estimated. The overall results suggest that an increase in government budget deficits tend to reduce national saving. The working age population coming out of the baby boom generation has positively contributed to an increase in national saving.

Suggested Citation

  • Gyan Pradhan & Kamal Upadhyaya, 2001. "The impact of budget deficits on national saving in the USA," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(13), pages 1745-1750.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1745-1750
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840010020132
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eisner, Robert, 1994. "National Saving and Budget Deficits," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(1), pages 181-186, February.
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    6. repec:fth:harver:1435 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    8. Franklin G. Mixon & James B. Wilkinson, 1999. "Maintaining the status quo: federal government budget deficits and defensive rent-seeking," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 26(1), pages 5-14, January.
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    11. Phillips, P C B, 1987. "Time Series Regression with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 277-301, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rodolfo Cermeño & Bernardo D. Roth & F. Alejandro Villagómez, 2008. "Fiscal Policy and National Saving in Mexico, 1980-2006," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 23(2), pages 281-312.
    2. Duy-Tung Bui, 2018. "Fiscal policy and national saving in emerging Asia: challenge or opportunity?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 305-322, August.
    3. Tarek Bouazizi & Zouhaier Hadhek & Mongi Lassoued, 2020. "General Government Balance Shocks and Their Impact on Some Tunisian Macroeconomics Variables: Evidence from a VAR Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 69-83.
    4. Chor Foon Tang & Soo Y. Chua, 2012. "The savings-growth nexus for the Malaysian economy: a view through rolling sub-samples," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(32), pages 4173-4185, November.
    5. Marc Hayford, 2005. "Fiscal policy and national saving," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 981-992.

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