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National Saving and Budget Deficits

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  • Eisner, Robert

Abstract

It has been widely argued that government budget deficits reduce national saving. Estimated relations indicate otherwise, both for the traditional or conventional, 'official' measure of national saving and a broader, more relevant measure, encompassing government and household as well as private business investment in tangible capital. Greater price-adjusted, high-employment deficits, increases in the real monetary base, and declines in real exchange rates have all been associated with more subsequent national saving. These relations, manifest in AR(1) regressions over the 1972-91, period were confirmed in vector autoregressions. Copyright 1994 by MIT Press.

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  • Eisner, Robert, 1994. "National Saving and Budget Deficits," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(1), pages 181-186, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:76:y:1994:i:1:p:181-86
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    Cited by:

    1. George Irvin & Alejandro Izurieta, 2000. "Will the growing trade gap sink Viet Nam?-Some exploratory econometrics," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 169-186.
    2. Peeters, Marga, 1999. "The Public-Private Savings Mirror and Causality Relations Among Private Savings, Investment, and (twin) Deficits: A Full Modeling Approach," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 579-605, September.
    3. Gyan Pradhan & Kamal Upadhyaya, 2001. "The impact of budget deficits on national saving in the USA," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(13), pages 1745-1750.
    4. Richard Cebula & Chao-Shun Hung & Neela Manage, 1996. "Ricardian equivalence, budget deficits, and saving in the United States, 1955:1-1991:4," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(8), pages 525-528.
    5. Per Gunnar Berglund, 2001. "Equality and Enterprise: Can Functional Finance Offer a New Historical Compromise?," SCEPA working paper series. 2001-01, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    6. Mumtaz Hussain & Oscar Brookins, 2001. "On the determinants of national saving: An extreme-bounds analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 137(1), pages 150-174, March.
    7. Robert Eisner, 1994. "Deficits, Saving, and Economic Policy," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 38(2), pages 3-11, October.

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