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Spillover effects from London and Frankfurt to Central and Eastern European stock markets

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  • Barry Harrison
  • Winston Moore

Abstract

This article investigates comovement in stock markets between the emerging economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the developed markets of Western Europe. Three approaches are employed to examine this issue. The first two approaches, time-varying realized correlation ratios and cointegration statistics, use a two-step technique to derive time-varying estimates of the comovement between returns on CEE and EU stock exchanges. The first step uses common factor analysis to define the factors driving CEE stock exchanges, while the second step evaluates the relationship between the leading principal factor for CEE countries and the Deutsche Aktien Xchange (DAX) and Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) using time-varying realized correlation and rolling cointegration statistics. The third approach employs Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) techniques to obtain estimates of mean and variance spillover effects.

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  • Barry Harrison & Winston Moore, 2009. "Spillover effects from London and Frankfurt to Central and Eastern European stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(18), pages 1509-1521.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:19:y:2009:i:18:p:1509-1521
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100902902220
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    Cited by:

    1. B Harrison & W Moore, 2010. "Stock Market Co-Movement in the Caribbean," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Claudiu Boţoc & Sorin Gabriel Anton, 2020. "New empirical evidence on CEE's stock markets integration," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(10), pages 2785-2802, October.
    3. Barry Harrison & Winston Moore, 2010. "Nonlinearities in Stock Returns for Some Recent Entrants to the EU," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2010/1, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
    4. Wei Zhou, 2017. "Dynamic and Asymmetric Contagion Reactions of Financial Markets During the Last Subprime Crisis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(2), pages 207-230, August.
    5. Thomas Dimpfl & Robert C. Jung, 2012. "Financial market spillovers around the globe," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 45-57, January.
    6. Reboredo, Juan C. & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2015. "An analysis of dependence between Central and Eastern European stock markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 474-490.
    7. Ovidiu Stoica & Mark J. Perry & Seyed Mehdian, 2015. "An Empirical Analysis of the Diffusion of Information across Stock Markets of Central and Eastern Europe," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(2), pages 192-210.
    8. Yavas, Burhan F. & Dedi, Lidija, 2016. "An investigation of return and volatility linkages among equity markets: A study of selected European and emerging countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 583-596.
    9. Barry Harrison & Winston Moore, 2011. "Nonlinearities in central and eastern European stock markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(14), pages 1363-1366.
    10. Kersti Harkmann, 2022. "Integration of the Baltic stock markets with developed European markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 506-517, January.
    11. Joanna Bruzda, 2010. "European Equity Market Integration and Optimal Investment Horizons – Evidence from Wavelet Analysis," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 10, pages 15-30.
    12. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2021. "Nonlinearities and Chaos: A New Analysis of CEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-13, March.
    13. Gilenko, Evgenii & Fedorova, Elena, 2014. "Internal and external spillover effects for the BRIC countries: Multivariate GARCH-in-mean approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 32-45.
    14. Nazmus Sadat Khan, 2017. "Propagation of economic shocks from Russia and Western European countries to CEE-Baltic countries: a comparative analysis," CQE Working Papers 6517, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    15. Nazmus Sadat Khan, 2020. "Propagation of economic shocks from Russia and Western European countries to CEE-Baltic countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(3), pages 489-512, September.
    16. Madhusudan Karmakar & Girja Kant Shukla, 2016. "The Effect of Spillover on Volatility Forecasting: An Empirical Study in Indian Stock Market," Metamorphosis: A Journal of Management Research, , vol. 15(1), pages 20-30, June.
    17. Prakash L. Dheeriya & Fahimeh Rezayat & Burhan F. Yavas, 2014. "Relations between Volatility and Returns of Exchange Traded Funds of Emerging Markets and of USA," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 4, pages 44-46, Feburary.
    18. Margarit Monica-Ionelia, 2022. "Using The Bayesian Var In Monetary Policy Analysis: A Literature Review," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 212-216, February.
    19. Khan, Nazmus Sadat, 2020. "Spillover Effects of Trade Shocks in the Central and Eastern European and Baltic Countries," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 35(1), pages 39-68.

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