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Are emerging stock market price indices really stationary?

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  • Chanwit Phengpis

Abstract

This study re-examines the univariate property of stock market price indices in ten emerging markets which are evidenced by prior empirical work, specifically by Chaudhuri and Wu (2003), to be I(0) or stationary. Important findings from variants of standard Dickey and Fuller (1979, 1981) and Zivot and Andrews (1992) unit root tests include: (1) the majority of these price indices can be more appropriately regarded as I(1) or non-stationary, and (2) the I(1) processes in these price indices have been increasingly discernible over time. These results imply non-mean reversion in stock market prices and unpredictability based on past prices in the majority of emerging stock markets under investigation.

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  • Chanwit Phengpis, 2006. "Are emerging stock market price indices really stationary?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 931-939.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:16:y:2006:i:13:p:931-939
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100500386099
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    2. Ankita Mishra & Vinod Mishra, 2011. "Is the Indian stock market efficient? Evidence from a TAR model with an autoregressive unit root," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 467-472.
    3. Geoffrey Ngene & Kenneth A. Tah & Ali F. Darrat, 2017. "The random-walk hypothesis revisited: new evidence on multiple structural breaks in emerging markets," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 88-106, January.
    4. Durusu-Ciftci, Dilek & Ispir, M. Serdar & Kok, Dundar, 2019. "Do stock markets follow a random walk? New evidence for an old question," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 165-175.
    5. Vinodh Madhavan & Rakesh Arrawatia, 2016. "Relative Efficiency of G8 Sovereign Credit Default Swaps and Bond Scrips: An Adaptive Market Hypothesis Perspective," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 4(2), pages 127-150, December.
    6. M. K. Hassan & S. S. H. Chowdhury, 2008. "Efficiency of Bangladesh stock market: evidence from monthly index and individual firm data," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 749-758.
    7. Cunado, J. & Gil-Alana, L.A. & Gracia, Fernando Perez de, 2010. "Mean reversion in stock market prices: New evidence based on bull and bear markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 113-122, June.

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