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Tax then spend or spend then tax? Experience in the UK, 1961-93

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  • Mohammad Hasan
  • Ian Lincoln

Abstract

Using a hybrid of cointegration theory and Granger-Akaike's synthesis of modelling strategy, we have reexamined the causal relationship between tax revenue and government spending in the UK in a cointegrated VAR model. The results are indicative of a bi-directional causality between revenue and spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Hasan & Ian Lincoln, 1997. "Tax then spend or spend then tax? Experience in the UK, 1961-93," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 237-239.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:237-239
    DOI: 10.1080/758518502
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stiassny, Alfred & Koren, Stefan, 1994. "Tax and Spend or Spend and Tax? An International Study," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 28, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
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    Cited by:

    1. Temel Gurdal & Mucahit Aydin & Veysel Inal, 2021. "The relationship between tax revenue, government expenditure, and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from time and frequency domain approaches," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 305-337, May.
    2. Shyh-Wei Chen, 2008. "Untangling the web of causalities among four disaggregate government expenditures, government revenue and output in Taiwan," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 99-107.
    3. Teresa Famulska & Jan Kaczmarzyk & Malgorzata Grzaba, 2020. "The Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Public Social Expenditure in the EU Member States," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 1136-1156.
    4. Syed Ali Raza & Syed Zaki Hassan & Arshian Sharif, 2019. "Asymmetric Relationship Between Government Revenues and Expenditures in a Developing Economy: Evidence from a Non-linear Model," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(5), pages 1179-1195, October.
    5. Tsangyao Chang & Yuan-Hong Ho, 2002. "A Note on Testing ¡°Tax-and-Spend, Spend-and-Tax or Fiscal Synchronization¡±: The Case of China," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 151-160, June.
    6. Arvin, Mak B. & Pradhan, Rudra P. & Nair, Mahendhiran S., 2021. "Are there links between institutional quality, government expenditure, tax revenue and economic growth? Evidence from low-income and lower middle-income countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 468-489.
    7. Yuan-Hong Ho & Chiung-Ju Huang, 2009. "Tax-Spend, Spend-Tax, or Fiscal Synchronization: A Panel Analysis of the Chinese Provincial Real Data," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 5(2), pages 257-272, July.
    8. Yaya Keho, 2010. "Spending Cuts or Tax Adjustments: How Can UEMOA Countries Control Their Budget Deficits?," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 9(3), pages 233-252, December.

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