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Does insurance demand or financial development promote economic growth? Evidence from Taiwan

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  • Ming-Sun Horng
  • Yung-Wang Chang
  • Ting-Yi Wu

Abstract

This study examines the dynamic relationship among insurance demand, financial development and economic growth in Taiwan between 1961 and 2006. Using a three-variable Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the competing hypotheses of demand-following versus supply-leading are empirically tested. Extending the conceptual link among these variables proposed by Hussels et al. (2005), we find that there is an equilibrium relationship between demand, financial development and economic growth. In the short run, economic growth Granger causes insurance demand, and financial development Granger causes economic growth. In other words, financial development does promote real GDP growth, and a change in real GDP leads to deviation in real insurance demand in Taiwan. Managerial implications are proposed based on the empirical findings.

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  • Ming-Sun Horng & Yung-Wang Chang & Ting-Yi Wu, 2012. "Does insurance demand or financial development promote economic growth? Evidence from Taiwan," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 105-111, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:105-111
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568386
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    5. Chow, Sheung Chi & Vieito, João Paulo & Wong, Wing Keung, 2019. "Do both demand-following and supply-leading theories hold true in developing countries?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 536-554.
    6. Bianca COSTACHE, 2018. "The Relationship Between Insurance And Economic Growth In Germany, Netherlands And Spain," Contemporary Economy Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 3(4), pages 38-43.
    7. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, B. Mak & Norman, Neville R. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Hall, John H., 2016. "Insurance penetration and economic growth nexus: Cross-country evidence from ASEAN," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 447-458.
    8. Cong Tam Trinh & Minh-Tri Ha & Nhut Quang Ho & Tho Alang, 2023. "National culture, public health spending and life insurance consumption: an international comparison," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
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    10. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Hall, John H. & Gupta, Atul, 2017. "Is there a link between economic growth and insurance and banking sector activities in the G-20 countries?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 12-28.
    11. Poyesh Bahadori Jahromi & Hojatallah Goudarzi, 2014. "The Study of Co-Integration and Casual Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Insurance Penetration Ratio," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(7), pages 853-863, July.
    12. Anwar, Amar & Iwasaki, Ichiro, 2022. "The Finance–Growth Nexus inAsia : A Meta-Analytic Approach," CEI Working Paper Series 2022-03, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    13. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Sahar Bahmani & Sara E. Bennett & John H. Hall, 2017. "Insurance–growth nexus and macroeconomic determinants: evidence from middle-income countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1337-1366, June.
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    15. Maheswaran Srinivasan & Subrata Mitra, 2024. "Determinants of Life Insurance Consumption in OECD Countries Using FMOLS and DOLS Techniques," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, February.
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