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Too many, too fast? Dynamics of net migration in OECD, 1984-2001

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  • Nikolay Zubanov

Abstract

A dynamic model of migration developed by Hatton (1995) has been applied to the panel of 23 OECD countries observed during 1984-2001. Migration flows have been found to have a tendency to overreact to changes in economic conditions. Thus, simulations have shown that in the Anglo-American group of countries (Australia, Canada, Ireland, UK and USA) a given relative improvement in economic circumstances which brings an extra 0.840 immigrants per 1000 population per year (334 800 in total) in the short run, brings somewhat fewer (288 700 in total) in the long-run.

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  • Nikolay Zubanov, 2009. "Too many, too fast? Dynamics of net migration in OECD, 1984-2001," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 597-602.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:597-602
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206437
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    1. Michael Fertig, 2001. "The economic impact of EU-enlargement: assessing the migration potential," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 707-720.
    2. Timothy J. Hatton & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2003. "Demographic and Economic Pressure on Emigration out of Africa," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 105(3), pages 465-486, September.
    3. Larry A. Sjaastad, 1970. "The Costs and Returns of Human Migration," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Harry W. Richardson (ed.), Regional Economics, chapter 9, pages 115-133, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Hatton, Timothy J. & Williamson, Jeffrey G., 1998. "The Age of Mass Migration: Causes and Economic Impact," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195116519.
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