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Real and accrual earnings management and IPO failure risk

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  • Mohammad Alhadab
  • Iain Clacher
  • Kevin Keasey

Abstract

This paper analyses the relationship between real and accrual earnings management activities and IPO failure risk. While the association between accrual earnings management and IPO failure has been researched in a limited setting, to date, there has been no work that analyses the impact of real activities-based manipulation on the probability of IPO failure. Based on a sample of 570 UK IPO firms that went public over the period 1998-2008, we find evidence that IPO firms manipulate earnings upward utilising real and accrual earnings management during the IPO year. We also find that IPO firms with high levels of real and/or accrual earnings management during the IPO year have a higher probability of IPO failure and lower survival rates in subsequent periods. In addition, we find that IPO firms experience a higher probability of IPO failure and lower survival rates in the post-IPO period when greater real earnings management takes place during the IPO as compared to accrual earnings management. While our work contributes to the growing literature on real and accrual earnings management around IPOs, the majority of our failed IPO events are from the Alternative Investment Market and occur during the financial crisis. Future research, therefore, should consider whether these results are generalisable to more developed firms and less turbulent economic environments.

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  • Mohammad Alhadab & Iain Clacher & Kevin Keasey, 2015. "Real and accrual earnings management and IPO failure risk," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 55-92, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:acctbr:v:45:y:2015:i:1:p:55-92
    DOI: 10.1080/00014788.2014.969187
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    Cited by:

    1. Fafaliou, Irene & Giaka, Maria & Konstantios, Dimitrios & Polemis, Michael, 2022. "Firms’ ESG reputational risk and market longevity: A firm-level analysis for the United States," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 161-177.
    2. Wu, Chloe Yu-Hsuan & Hsu, Hwa-Hsien, 2018. "Founders and board structure: Evidence from UK IPO firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 19-31.
    3. Iftikhar Ahmad & Izlin Ismail & Shahrin Saaid Shaharuddin, 2021. "Predictive Role of Ex Ante Strategic Firm Characteristics for Sustainable Initial Public Offering (IPO) Survival," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-26, July.
    4. Zhi Wang & Geert Braam & Daniel Reimsbach & Jiaxin Wang, 2020. "Political embeddedness and firms’ choices of earnings management strategies in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(5), pages 4723-4755, December.
    5. Anagnostopoulou, Seraina C. & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Malikov, Kamran & Pham, Hang, 2021. "Earnings management by classification shifting and IPO survival," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Mohammad M. Alhadab, 2018. "Real and Accrual Earnings Management around Initial Public Offerings in Jordan," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(1), pages 204-216, January.
    7. Colak, Gonul & Fu, Mengchuan & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2022. "On modeling IPO failure risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    8. Lo, Huai-Chun & Wu, Ruei-Shian & Kweh, Qian Long, 2017. "Do institutional investors reinforce or reduce agency problems? Earnings management and the post-IPO performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 62-76.
    9. Al-Shattarat, Basiem & Hussainey, Khaled & Al-Shattarat, Wasim, 2022. "The impact of abnormal real earnings management to meet earnings benchmarks on future operating performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    10. Wang, Shu-Feng & Kim, Yura & Kim, Seonmi & Song, Kyojik “Roy”, 2024. "Refinancing risk, earnings management, and stock return," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    11. Yongeun Choi & Wonsub Eum & Taewon Kang & Jeong‐Dong Lee, 2022. "Impacts of entrepreneurial experience on firm performance in IPO firms," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(8), pages 4064-4076, December.
    12. Feng, Cong & Patel, Pankaj C. & Xiang, Kexin, 2020. "The well-trodden path: Complementing market and entrepreneurial orientation with a strategic emphasis to influence IPO survival in the United States," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 370-385.
    13. Ahsan Habib & Dinithi Ranasinghe & Julia Yonghua Wu & Pallab Kumar Biswas & Fawad Ahmad, 2022. "Real earnings management: A review of the international literature," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(4), pages 4279-4344, December.
    14. Wu, Ruei-Shian & Lo, Huai-Chun, 2022. "A Rose has its Thorn: The role of institutional investors in SEO firms’ reporting behavior," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 530-554.
    15. Na-Youn Kim, 2019. "Do Reputable Underwriters Affect the Sustainability of Newly Listed Firms? Evidence from South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, May.
    16. Buchner, Axel & Mohamed, Abdulkadir & Saadouni, Brahim, 2017. "The association between earnings forecast in IPOs prospectuses and earnings management: An empirical analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 92-105.
    17. Eric Séverin & David Veganzones, 2021. "Can earnings management information improve bankruptcy prediction models?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 247-272, November.
    18. Yang, Jingwen & Hemmings, Danial & Jaafar, Aziz & Jackson, Richard H.G., 2022. "The real earnings management gap between private and public firms: Evidence from Europe," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    19. Yang, Yiru & Abeysekera, Indra, 2019. "Duration of equity overvaluation and managers’ choice to use aggressive underlying earnings disclosure and accrual-based earnings management: Australian evidence," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 167-185.
    20. Fafaliou, Irene & Giaka, Maria & Konstantios, Dimitrios & Polemis, Michael, 2020. "Firms’ Sustainability Performance and Market Longevity," MPRA Paper 101445, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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