IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spt/admaec/v1y2011i3f1_3_8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Verdoorn-Kaldor’s Law: an empirical analysis with time series data in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Concetta Castiglione

Abstract

Verdoorn’s law refers to a statistical relationship between the long-run growth rate of labour productivity and the growth rate of output, usually for the manufacturing sector. Since the sixties this relationship has been examined in a large number of studies using a wide variety of data sets and employing different econometric models. This paper is based on a time series analysis and formulates the law in terms of cointegration and Granger-causality between manufacturing output and labour productivity. Quarterly U.S. data for 1987-2007 is used to test the pattern implied by the law. Results show that manufacturing production and labour productivity are variables that are integrated of order (1,1), and are also cointegrated. The impulse response function shows that a shock on one variable has a positive impact on the other variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Concetta Castiglione, 2011. "Verdoorn-Kaldor’s Law: an empirical analysis with time series data in the United States," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 1(3), pages 1-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:spt:admaec:v:1:y:2011:i:3:f:1_3_8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.scienpress.com/Upload/AMAE%2fVol%201_3_8.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John McCombie & Maurizio Pugno & Bruno Soro (ed.), 2002. "Productivity Growth and Economic Performance," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-50423-3, October.
    2. Marcel P. Timmer, 2000. "The Dynamics of Asian Manufacturing," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1927.
    3. Timmer, Marcel P. & Szirmai, Adam, 2000. "Productivity growth in Asian manufacturing: the structural bonus hypothesis examined," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 371-392, December.
    4. Sergio Destefanis, 2002. "The Verdoorn Law: Some Evidence from Non-Parametric Frontier Analysis," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: John McCombie & Maurizio Pugno & Bruno Soro (ed.), Productivity Growth and Economic Performance, chapter 6, pages 136-164, Palgrave Macmillan.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Federico Bassi, 2019. "Capacity Utilization and the NAIRCU," Working Papers hal-02360456, HAL.
    2. Someshwar Rao & Jiang Li, 2013. "Explaining Slower Productivity Growth: The Role of Weak Demand Growth," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 26, pages 3-19, Fall.
    3. Matteo Deleidi & Claudia Fontanari & Santiago José Gahn, 2023. "Autonomous demand and technical change: exploring the Kaldor–Verdoorn law on a global level," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(1), pages 57-80, April.
    4. repec:hal:cepnwp:hal-02360456 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Bashir, Sadaf & Sadowski, B. M., 2014. "General purpose technologies: A survey, a critique and future research directions," 25th European Regional ITS Conference, Brussels 2014 101443, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    6. Vassilis Monastiriotis, 2014. "Regional Growth and National Development: Transition in Central and Eastern Europe and the Regional Kuznets Curve in the East and the West," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 142-161, June.
    7. Federico Bassi, 2019. "Capacity Utilization and the NAIRCU - Evidences of Hysteresis in EU countries," CEPN Working Papers 2019-09, Centre d'Economie de l'Université de Paris Nord.
    8. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Antonella Stirati, 2020. "Tertiarization, productivity and aggregate demand: evidence-based policies for European countries," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1429-1465, November.
    9. Di Domenico, Lorenzo & Raberto, Marco & Safarzynska, Karolina, 2023. "Resource scarcity, circular economy and the energy rebound: A macro-evolutionary input-output model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    10. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Antonella Stirati, 2018. "Structural change, labour productivity and the Kaldor-Verdoorn law: evidence from European countries," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0239, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    11. Gancho Ganchev & Mariya Paskaleva, 2019. "The Relationship between Workforce Migration and the Basic Macroeconomic Variables of the Countries from Central Eastern Europe with a Focus on Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 45-69.
    12. Andrew Sharpe, 2015. "Ontario's Productivity Performance, 2000-2012: A Detailed Analysis," CSLS Research Reports 2015-04, Centre for the Study of Living Standards.
    13. Borsato, Andrea & Lorentz, André, 2023. "The Kaldor–Verdoorn law at the age of robots and AI," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(10).
    14. Federico Bassi, 2020. "Chronic Excess Capacity and Unemployment Hysteresis in EU Countries. A Structural Approach," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def091, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    15. Gerald Friedman, 2017. "A Future for Growth?," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 652-662, December.
    16. Fabrizio Antenucci & Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2019. "Demand and Supply-side Drivers of Labour Productivity Growth: an empirical assessment for G7 countries," Working Papers 0042, ASTRIL - Associazione Studi e Ricerche Interdisciplinari sul Lavoro.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Antonella Stirati, 2018. "Structural change, labour productivity and the Kaldor-Verdoorn law: evidence from European countries," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0239, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    2. Ziesemer, Thomas H.W., 2010. "The impact of the credit crisis on poor developing countries: Growth, worker remittances, accumulation and migration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1230-1245, September.
    3. Andrés Maroto Sánchez & Juan Ramón Cuadrado Roura, 2008. "New Regional convergence in productivity and productive structure. Application to European Southern countries," Working Papers 11/08, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
    4. Deepankar Basu1, Duncan K. Foley, 2011. "WP 2011-4 Dynamics of Output and Employment in the U.S. Economy," SCEPA working paper series. 2011-4, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    5. Tan Khee Giap & Mulya Amri, 2018. "Slow Growth and Sluggish Manufacturing in Indonesia¡¯s Less Competitive Provinces: A Geweke Causality Analysis," Applied Finance and Accounting, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 2-14, August.
    6. Deepankar Basu & Duncan K. Foley, 2013. "Dynamics of output and employment in the US economy," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 37(5), pages 1077-1106.
    7. Ester G. Silva & Aurora A. C. Teixeira, 2011. "Does structure influence growth? A panel data econometric assessment of "relatively less developed" countries, 1979--2003," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 20(2), pages 457-510, April.
    8. Cornwall, John & Cornwall, Wendy, 2002. "A demand and supply analysis of productivity growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 203-229, June.
    9. Ziesemer, Thomas H.W., 2012. "Worker remittances, migration, accumulation and growth in poor developing countries: Survey and analysis of direct and indirect effects," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 103-118.
    10. Michael Peneder & Karl Aiginger & Gernot Hutschenreiter & Markus Marterbauer, 2001. "Structural Change and Economic Growth," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 20668.
    11. Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2020. "Structural Change, Expanding Informality and Labor Productivity Growth in Russia," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(2), pages 394-417, June.
    12. repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_018 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Longfeng Ye & Peter E. Robertson, 2017. "Migration and Growth in China: A Sceptical Assessment of the Evidence," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 17-03, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    14. Lains, Pedro, 2003. "Catching up to the European core: Portuguese economic growth, 1910-1990," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 369-386, October.
    15. Yimin Chen & Yulin Liu & Xin Fang, 2021. "The new evidence of China’s economic downturn: From structural bonus to structural imbalance," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-25, September.
    16. Peter Havlik, 2015. "Patterns of Structural Change in the New EU Member States," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 3, pages 133-157, September.
    17. Szirmai, Adam, 2011. "Manufacturing and Economic Development," WIDER Working Paper Series 075, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    18. Chen, Shiyi & Jefferson, Gary H. & Zhang, Jun, 2011. "Structural change, productivity growth and industrial transformation in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 133-150, March.
    19. Harald Oberhofer & Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl & Peter Huber & Serguei Kaniovski & Klaus Nowotny & Michael Pfaffermayr & Monique Ebell & Nikolaos Kontogiannis, 2016. "Single Market Transmission Mechanisms Before, During and After the 2008-09 Crisis. A Quantitative Assessment," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 59156.
    20. Hidekatsu Asada, 2020. "Impacts of sectoral labour productivity growth of emerging countries in East Asia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 906-919.
    21. Andres Kuusk & Karsten Staehr & Uku Varblane, 2015. "Sectoral change and labour productivity growth during boom, bust and recovery," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2015-2, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Dec 2015.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spt:admaec:v:1:y:2011:i:3:f:1_3_8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eleftherios Spyromitros-Xioufis (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.scienpress.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.