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Schneller Ausstieg oder bedachte Lockerung?
[Quick Exit or Deliberate Loosening? On the Future of Contact Restrictions in the COVID-19Crisis]

Author

Listed:
  • Sebastian Dullien

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Alexander Herzog-Stein

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Peter Hohlfeld

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Sven Schreiber

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Silke Tober

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Welche Bedeutung hat eine Lockerung der Kontaktbeschränkungen für die Erholung der deutschen Wirtschaft, und welche Schlussfolgerungen für das angemessene Niveau der Kontaktbeschränkungen sind in den kommenden Monaten zu ziehen? Um diese Fragen zu beantworten, wird abgeschätzt, welche Bedeutung die Maßnahmen zur Kontaktbeschränkung, die von Bund und Ländern seit Mitte März 2020 auf den Weg gebracht worden sind, für den derzeit zu beobachtenden Einbruch der Wirtschaftsaktivität in Deutschland tatsächlich haben. Zudem werden die verschiedenen plausiblen Szenarien zur Infektionsverbreitung und -eindämmung unter verschiedenen Optionen zur Lockerung der Kontaktbeschränkungen dargestellt.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Dullien & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Peter Hohlfeld & Sven Schreiber & Silke Tober, 2020. "Schneller Ausstieg oder bedachte Lockerung? [Quick Exit or Deliberate Loosening? On the Future of Contact Restrictions in the COVID-19Crisis]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(4), pages 285-290, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2634-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2634-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Knut Røed, 1997. "Hysteresis in Unemployment," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 389-418, December.
    2. Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn, 2018. "The German employment miracle in the Great Recession: the significance and institutional foundations of temporary working-time reductions," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(1), pages 206-224.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H00 - Public Economics - - General - - - General
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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