IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v36y2022i9d10.1007_s11269-022-03193-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Selecting the Best Approach to Modeling the Performance of Water Supply System Using the Combination of Rough Set Theory with Multi-Criteria Decision Making

Author

Listed:
  • Sadaf-Sadat Mortezaeipooya

    (University of Qom)

  • Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh

    (University of Qom)

  • Parvin Golfam

    (University of Qom)

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to select the best modeling approach (simulation or optimization) for operation the water supply system using multi-criteria decision-making method. For this purpose, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory-Earth System Models (GFDL-ESM2M) and the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate-ESM (MIROC-ESM) models were selected to predict the changing trend of the climatic variables of rainfall and temperature, respectively. Then Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model and a decision support system tool named Cropwat were used to simulate water resources and consumption; and to model the behavior of the water supply system, the MODified SYMyld (MODSIM) (as simulator) and the modeling language and optimizer LINGO 18 (as optimizer) were used in the future time period (2026–2039) and the results were compared with the baseline period (1987–2000) for the Idoghmush reservoir (Iran). The results of MODSIM simulation model show that the indexes of reliability, vulnerability, reseiliency and flexibility in the future time period under the RCP2.6 emission scenario compared to the baseline time period decreased by 9%, decreased by 22%, increased by 4%, and decreased by 2%, respectively. The results of the LINGO 18 optimization model show that the reliability, vulnerability, resiliency and flexibility indexes in the future time period under the RCP2.6 emission scenario compared to the baseline time period decreased by 13%, decreased by 17%, increased by 14% and increased by 3%, respectively. Due to the different results obtained from optimization and simulation approaches for the study area, the Multi-Attributive Ideal-Real Comparative Analysis (MAIRCA) multi-criteria decision-making method was used to select a more appropriate approach. The results show that for water resources management planning, the simulation approach is given priority over the optimization approach due to its characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Sadaf-Sadat Mortezaeipooya & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Parvin Golfam, 2022. "Selecting the Best Approach to Modeling the Performance of Water Supply System Using the Combination of Rough Set Theory with Multi-Criteria Decision Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(9), pages 3129-3152, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03193-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-022-03193-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-022-03193-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-022-03193-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kian Fadaeizadeh & Mojtaba Shourian, 2019. "Determination of the Optimal River Basin-Wide Agricultural Water Demand Quantities Meeting Satisfactory Reliability Levels," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(8), pages 2665-2676, June.
    2. Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Taher Rajaee & Parvin Golfam, 2017. "Assessment of Water Resources Development Projects under Conditions of Climate Change Using Efficiency Indexes (EIs)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3723-3744, September.
    3. Navid Shenava & Mojtaba Shourian, 2018. "Optimal Reservoir Operation with Water Supply Enhancement and Flood Mitigation Objectives Using an Optimization-Simulation Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(13), pages 4393-4407, October.
    4. Yoram Wind & Thomas L. Saaty, 1980. "Marketing Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(7), pages 641-658, July.
    5. Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Parvin Golfam & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2020. "Evaluation of River Water Transfer Alternatives with the TODIM Multi-Criteria Decision Making Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(15), pages 4847-4863, December.
    6. Forman, Ernest & Peniwati, Kirti, 1998. "Aggregating individual judgments and priorities with the analytic hierarchy process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 165-169, July.
    7. Zohreh Sherafatpour & Abbas Roozbahani & Yousef Hasani, 2019. "Agricultural Water Allocation by Integration of Hydro-Economic Modeling with Bayesian Networks and Random Forest Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2277-2299, May.
    8. Mehri Abdi-Dehkordi & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Xuefeng Chu, 2021. "Development of a Combined Index to Evaluate Sustainability of Water Resources Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(9), pages 2965-2985, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yong Ye & Wei Chen & Guirong Wang & Weifeng Xue, 2022. "Spatial Prediction of the Groundwater Potential Using Remote Sensing Data and Bivariate Statistical-Based Artificial Intelligence Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(14), pages 5461-5494, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pérez-Mesa, Juan Carlos & Galdeano-Gómez, Emilio & Salinas Andújar, Jose A., 2012. "Logistics network and externalities for short sea transport: An analysis of horticultural exports from southeast Spain," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 188-198.
    2. Marlow, David R. & Beale, David J. & Mashford, John S., 2012. "Risk-based prioritization and its application to inspection of valves in the water sector," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 67-74.
    3. Jacinto González-Pachón & Carlos Romero, 2007. "Inferring consensus weights from pairwise comparison matrices without suitable properties," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 154(1), pages 123-132, October.
    4. Paredes-Frigolett, Harold & Pyka, Andreas & Leoneti, Alexandre Bevilacqua, 2021. "On the performance and strategy of innovation systems: A multicriteria group decision analysis approach," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Hsu-Shih Shih, 2016. "A Mixed-Data Evaluation in Group TOPSIS with Differentiated Decision Power," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 537-565, May.
    6. Zhu, Bin & Xu, Zeshui, 2014. "Analytic hierarchy process-hesitant group decision making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 239(3), pages 794-801.
    7. Aull-Hyde, Rhonda & Erdogan, Sevgi & Duke, Joshua M., 2006. "An experiment on the consistency of aggregated comparison matrices in AHP," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 171(1), pages 290-295, May.
    8. O. Flores Baquero & J. Gallego-Ayala & R. Giné-Garriga & A. Jiménez-Fernández. Palencia & A. Pérez-Foguet, 2017. "The Influence of the Human Rights to Water and Sanitation Normative Content in Measuring the Level of Service," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 763-786, September.
    9. Parvin Golfam & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Taher Rajaee & Xuefeng Chu, 2019. "Prioritization of Water Allocation for Adaptation to Climate Change Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(10), pages 3401-3416, August.
    10. Fan, Zhi-Ping & Ma, Jian & Jiang, Yan-Ping & Sun, Yong-Hong & Ma, Louis, 2006. "A goal programming approach to group decision making based on multiplicative preference relations and fuzzy preference relations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 174(1), pages 311-321, October.
    11. Peng Wu & Jinpei Liu & Ligang Zhou & Huayou Chen, 2022. "An Integrated Group Decision-Making Method with Hesitant Qualitative Information Based on DEA Cross-Efficiency and Priority Aggregation for Evaluating Factors Affecting a Resilient City," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 293-316, April.
    12. Ruiz-Villaverde, Alberto & Picazo-Tadeo, Andrés J. & González-Gómez, Francisco, 2015. "The ‘social choice’ of privatising urban water services: A case study of Madrid in Spain," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 616-629.
    13. Ebner, Manuel & Fontana, Veronika & Schirpke, Uta & Tappeiner, Ulrike, 2022. "Stakeholder perspectives on ecosystem services of mountain lakes in the European Alps," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    14. Kosar Ebrahimzadeh Azbari & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Parvin Golfam & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2022. "Ranking of wastewater reuse allocation alternatives using a variance-based weighted aggregated sum product assessment method," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 2497-2513, February.
    15. Zorica Srđević & Bojan Srđević & Kosana Suvočarev & Laslo Galamboš, 2020. "Hybrid Constructed Wetland Selection as a Group Decision-Making Problem," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 295-310, January.
    16. Mangirdas Morkunas & Povilas Labukas, 2020. "The Evaluation of Negative Factors of Direct Payments under Common Agricultural Policy from a Viewpoint of Sustainability of Rural Regions of the New EU Member States: Evidence from Lithuania," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, June.
    17. María-José Verdecho & Juan-José Alfaro-Saiz & Raúl Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Pedro Gómez-Gasquet, 2021. "Using an ANP performance management framework to manage the development of transversal competences in University degrees," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 29(4), pages 1329-1352, December.
    18. Anastasiadou, Konstantina & Gavanas, Nikolaos, 2023. "Enhancing urban public space through appropriate sustainable mobility policies. A multi-criteria analysis approach," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    19. Bentes, Alexandre Veronese & Carneiro, Jorge & da Silva, Jorge Ferreira & Kimura, Herbert, 2012. "Multidimensional assessment of organizational performance: Integrating BSC and AHP," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 65(12), pages 1790-1799.
    20. Shivam Goyal & Dixit Garg & Sunil Luthra, 2021. "Sustainable production and consumption: analysing barriers and solutions for maintaining green tomorrow by using fuzzy-AHP–fuzzy-TOPSIS hybrid framework," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 16934-16980, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03193-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.