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Assessment of Streamflow Variability with Upgraded HydroClimatic Conceptual Streamflow Model

Author

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  • Mayank Suman

    (Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur)

  • Rajib Maity

    (Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur)

Abstract

HydroClimatic Conceptual Streamflow (HCCS) model is a conceptual model for prediction and future assessment of daily streamflow using climate inputs and time-varying watershed characteristics. However, without denying its useful salient features in a changing climate, applicability of the HCCS model is limited to the basins without any major man-made river structure(s), such as reservoirs. Considering this, the originally proposed HCCS model is upgraded (hereinafter ‘upgraded HCCS model’) to accommodate the human-intervened release from such structures within the basin, if any, and to include routing component through the river channels without using rigorous information from the river channels. The upgraded HCCS model is expected to be useful to assess (i) the effect on the streamflow at downstream due to upstream dam release, and (ii) the long-term modification required in the reservoir/dam operation under a changing climate for ensuring water-availability in downstream. The upgraded HCCS model is applied to three river basins for assessing the future streamflow characteristics. Two of these basins have one each and the third basin has two major man-made river structures within them. Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3) simulated climate variables till 2035 are used as inputs for demonstration. The model predicts an increase in streamflow in future. In general, the upgraded HCCS model can be applied to any tropical river basin having major man-made river structure(s) for daily streamflow prediction as well as assessment of future streamflow variation considering the changing climate and watershed characteristics.

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  • Mayank Suman & Rajib Maity, 2019. "Assessment of Streamflow Variability with Upgraded HydroClimatic Conceptual Streamflow Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(4), pages 1367-1382, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s11269-019-2185-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-2185-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Hui-Ting Hsu, 2016. "Suitability of ANN-Based Daily Streamflow Extension Models: a Case Study of Gaoping River Basin, Taiwan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(4), pages 1499-1513, March.
    2. Aman Mohammad Kalteh, 2016. "Improving Forecasting Accuracy of Streamflow Time Series Using Least Squares Support Vector Machine Coupled with Data-Preprocessing Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 747-766, January.
    3. Sajjad Abdollahi & Jalil Raeisi & Mohammadreza Khalilianpour & Farshad Ahmadi & Ozgur Kisi, 2017. "Daily Mean Streamflow Prediction in Perennial and Non-Perennial Rivers Using Four Data Driven Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(15), pages 4855-4874, December.
    4. Detlef Vuuren & Jae Edmonds & Mikiko Kainuma & Keywan Riahi & Allison Thomson & Kathy Hibbard & George Hurtt & Tom Kram & Volker Krey & Jean-Francois Lamarque & Toshihiko Masui & Malte Meinshausen & N, 2011. "The representative concentration pathways: an overview," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 5-31, November.
    5. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Hui-Ting Hsu, 2016. "Suitability of ANN-Based Daily Streamflow Extension Models: a Case Study of Gaoping River Basin, Taiwan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(4), pages 1499-1513, March.
    6. Aman Kalteh, 2016. "Improving Forecasting Accuracy of Streamflow Time Series Using Least Squares Support Vector Machine Coupled with Data-Preprocessing Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 747-766, January.
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