IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v32y2018i8d10.1007_s11269-018-1951-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Season Algorithm-Multigene Genetic Programming: A New Approach for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Danandeh Mehr

    (Antalya Bilim University
    University of Tabriz)

  • Vahid Nourani

    (University of Tabriz
    Near East University)

Abstract

Genetic programming (GP) is recognized as a robust machine learning method for rainfall-runoff modelling. However, it may produce lagged forecasts if autocorrelation feature of runoff series is not taken carefully into account. To enhance timing accuracy of GP-based rainfall-runoff models, the paper proposes a new rainfall-runoff model that integrates season algorithm (SA) with multigene-GP (MGGP). The proposed SA-MGGP model was trained and validated for single- and two- and three-day ahead streamflow forecasts at Haldizen Catchment, Trabzon, Turkey. Timing and prediction accuracy of the proposed model were assessed in terms of different efficiency criteria. In addition, the efficiency results were compared to those of monolithic GP, MGGP, and SA-GP forecasting models developed in the present study as the benchmarks. The outcomes indicated that SA augments timing accuracy of GP-based models in the range 250% to 500%. It is also found that MGGP may identify underlying structure of the rainfall-runoff process slightly better than monolithic GP at the study catchment.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Danandeh Mehr & Vahid Nourani, 2018. "Season Algorithm-Multigene Genetic Programming: A New Approach for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(8), pages 2665-2679, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:8:d:10.1007_s11269-018-1951-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-1951-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-018-1951-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-018-1951-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wen-chuan Wang & Kwok-wing Chau & Dong-mei Xu & Xiao-Yun Chen, 2015. "Improving Forecasting Accuracy of Annual Runoff Time Series Using ARIMA Based on EEMD Decomposition," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2655-2675, June.
    2. Habib Akbari-Alashti & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Miguel Mariño, 2015. "Application of Fixed Length Gene Genetic Programming (FLGGP) in Hydropower Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3357-3370, July.
    3. E. Fallah-Mehdipour & O. Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2012. "Real-Time Operation of Reservoir System by Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4091-4103, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maryam Rahimzad & Alireza Moghaddam Nia & Hosam Zolfonoon & Jaber Soltani & Ali Danandeh Mehr & Hyun-Han Kwon, 2021. "Performance Comparison of an LSTM-based Deep Learning Model versus Conventional Machine Learning Algorithms for Streamflow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(12), pages 4167-4187, September.
    2. Arash Malekian & Bahram Choubin & Junguo Liu & Farzaneh Sajedi-Hosseini, 2019. "Development of a New Integrated Framework for Improved Rainfall-Runoff Modeling under Climate Variability and Human Activities," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2501-2515, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li Chuangang & Ji Changming & Wang Boquan & Liu Minghao & Li Rongbo, 2017. "The Hydropower Station Output Function and its Application in Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 159-172, January.
    2. Ramtin Moeini & Kamran Nasiri & Seyed Hossein Hosseini, 2024. "Predicting the Water Inflow Into the Dam Reservoir Using the Hybrid Intelligent GP-ANN- NSGA-II Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(11), pages 4137-4159, September.
    3. Thibaut Cuvelier & Pierre Archambeau & Benjamin Dewals & Quentin Louveaux, 2018. "Comparison Between Robust and Stochastic Optimisation for Long-term Reservoir Management Under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1599-1614, March.
    4. Mohammad Ehteram & Hojat Karami & Saeed Farzin, 2018. "Reducing Irrigation Deficiencies Based Optimizing Model for Multi-Reservoir Systems Utilizing Spider Monkey Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(7), pages 2315-2334, May.
    5. Salman Sharifazari & Shahab Araghinejad, 2015. "Development of a Nonparametric Model for Multivariate Hydrological Monthly Series Simulation Considering Climate Change Impacts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5309-5322, November.
    6. Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani, 2016. "Investigating Chaos and Nonlinear Forecasting in Short Term and Mid-term River Discharge," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1851-1865, March.
    7. Quande Qin & Huangda He & Li Li & Ling-Yun He, 2020. "A Novel Decomposition-Ensemble Based Carbon Price Forecasting Model Integrated with Local Polynomial Prediction," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1249-1273, April.
    8. Vidhi Vig & Anmol Kaur, 2022. "Time series forecasting and mathematical modeling of COVID-19 pandemic in India: a developing country struggling to cope up," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 13(6), pages 2920-2933, December.
    9. Wen-chuan Wang & Kwok-wing Chau & Dong-mei Xu & Lin Qiu & Can-can Liu, 2017. "The Annual Maximum Flood Peak Discharge Forecasting Using Hermite Projection Pursuit Regression with SSO and LS Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 461-477, January.
    10. Baoying Shan & Ping Guo & Shanshan Guo & Zhong Li, 2019. "A Price-Forecast-Based Irrigation Scheduling Optimization Model under the Response of Fruit Quality and Price to Water," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-21, April.
    11. Liangxu Liu & Xueyong Zhao & Qinglan Meng & He Zhao & Xiaoqian Lu & Junkai Gao & Xueli Chang, 2017. "Annual Precipitation Fluctuation and Spatial Differentiation Characteristics of the Horqin Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-16, January.
    12. Chih-Chiang Wei & Nien-Sheng Hsu & Chien-Lin Huang, 2014. "Two-Stage Pumping Control Model for Flood Mitigation in Inundated Urban Drainage Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 425-444, January.
    13. Fu Qiao, 2020. "Study on Price Fluctuation of Industry Index in Chinas Stock Market Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(5), pages 559-573, May.
    14. Wenhua Wan & Jianshi Zhao & Jiabiao Wang, 2019. "Revisiting Water Supply Rule Curves with Hedging Theory for Climate Change Adaptation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-21, March.
    15. Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Taher Rajaee & Parvin Golfam, 2017. "Assessment of Water Resources Development Projects under Conditions of Climate Change Using Efficiency Indexes (EIs)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3723-3744, September.
    16. Ervin Shan Khai Tiu & Yuk Feng Huang & Jing Lin Ng & Nouar AlDahoul & Ali Najah Ahmed & Ahmed Elshafie, 2022. "An evaluation of various data pre-processing techniques with machine learning models for water level prediction," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(1), pages 121-153, January.
    17. E. Fallah-Mehdipour & O. Bozorg Haddad & H. Orouji & M. Mariño, 2013. "Application of Genetic Programming in Stage Hydrograph Routing of Open Channels," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3261-3272, July.
    18. Zhong-kai Feng & Wen-jing Niu & Zhi-qiang Jiang & Hui Qin & Zhen-guo Song, 2020. "Monthly Operation Optimization of Cascade Hydropower Reservoirs with Dynamic Programming and Latin Hypercube Sampling for Dimensionality Reduction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(6), pages 2029-2041, April.
    19. Fan, Xinying, 2022. "A method for the generation of typical meteorological year data using ensemble empirical mode decomposition for different climates of China and performance comparison analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    20. Mohammad Solgi & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2017. "The Enhanced Honey-Bee Mating Optimization Algorithm for Water Resources Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 885-901, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:8:d:10.1007_s11269-018-1951-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.