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Assessment of Stochastic Operation Optimization for Reservoirs of Contrasting Scales

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  • Alcigeimes B. Celeste

    (Federal University of Sergipe)

  • Ahmed El-Shafie

    (University of Malaya)

Abstract

Deriving optimal release policies for dams and corresponding reservoirs is crucial for the sustainable water resources management of a region as they directly control the distribution of water to several users. Mathematical optimization algorithms can help in finding efficient reservoir operating strategies taking into account complex system constraints and hydrologic uncertainty. The robustness of operation optimization models may be influenced by physical reservoir characteristics such as size and scale and the effectiveness of a model for a particular case study does not always guarantee the same level of success for another application. This research focused on assessing the applicability of an implicit stochastic optimization (ISO) procedure to derive rule curves for two different dams of contrasting reservoir scales in terms of physical and operational characteristics. The results demonstrated the feasibility of the proposed technique for both small- and large-scale systems in view of the lower vulnerability provided by the ISO-derived policies in contrast to operations carried out by the standard reservoir operating policy as well as the proximity of the ISO operations with those by perfect-forecast deterministic optimization. The ISO procedure also provided operating rules similar to, and even less vulnerable than, those derived by stochastic dynamic programming.

Suggested Citation

  • Alcigeimes B. Celeste & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2018. "Assessment of Stochastic Operation Optimization for Reservoirs of Contrasting Scales," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(11), pages 3751-3763, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-018-2017-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-2017-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Shiau & H. Lee, 2005. "Derivation of Optimal Hedging Rules for a Water-supply Reservoir through Compromise Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(2), pages 111-132, April.
    2. Thibaut Cuvelier & Pierre Archambeau & Benjamin Dewals & Quentin Louveaux, 2018. "Comparison Between Robust and Stochastic Optimisation for Long-term Reservoir Management Under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1599-1614, March.
    3. Alcigeimes Celeste & Max Billib, 2012. "Improving Implicit Stochastic Reservoir Optimization Models with Long-Term Mean Inflow Forecast," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(9), pages 2443-2451, July.
    4. Asmadi Ahmad & Ahmed El-Shafie & Siti Razali & Zawawi Mohamad, 2014. "Reservoir Optimization in Water Resources: a Review," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3391-3405, September.
    5. Jin Wang & Guo Cheng & Yi Gao & Ai Long & Zhong Xu & Xin Li & Hongyan Chen & Tom Barker, 2008. "Optimal Water Resource Allocation in Arid and Semi-Arid Areas," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(2), pages 239-258, February.
    6. Alcigeimes Celeste & Max Billib, 2010. "The Role of Spill and Evaporation in Reservoir Optimization Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(4), pages 617-628, March.
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