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Methodology for Drought Risk Assessment in Within-year Regulated Reservoir Systems. Application to the Orbigo River System (Spain)

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  • David Haro
  • Abel Solera
  • Javier Paredes
  • Joaquín Andreu

Abstract

Drought occurrence and its related impacts are a major concern in many river basins throughout the world. In the last years, drought management procedures have moved from a crisis approach towards a more sensitive preparedness approach. Drought plans development has arisen as an effective way of providing measures and actions to manage drought situations. However, due to each river basin has different operation characteristics, drought management requires a different approach in order to be efficient. Decision support tools are a great ally of water managers, especially in situations of high water stress and hydrologic uncertainty, allowing them to in-deep analyze the system and finding the best measures to minimize the risk of a system failure. This paper studies the difficulties of only using an indicator system based in current and past data to assess the drought risk in within-year regulated reservoir systems. It proposes the complementary use of a general risk assessment methodology to anticipate the future probable status of the system and defining the current drought scenario. It shows how the complementary use of a monitoring system and a risk assessment decision support system may improve the drought detection process allowing water managers optimizing the selection of mitigation measures and minimizing the probability of overreaction during a drought situation. Copyright The Author(s) 2014

Suggested Citation

  • David Haro & Abel Solera & Javier Paredes & Joaquín Andreu, 2014. "Methodology for Drought Risk Assessment in Within-year Regulated Reservoir Systems. Application to the Orbigo River System (Spain)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3801-3814, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:11:p:3801-3814
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0710-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. G. Tsakiris & I. Nalbantis & H. Vangelis & B. Verbeiren & M. Huysmans & B. Tychon & I. Jacquemin & F. Canters & S. Vanderhaegen & G. Engelen & L. Poelmans & P. Becker & O. Batelaan, 2013. "A System-based Paradigm of Drought Analysis for Operational Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5281-5297, December.
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    1. Chunping Tan & Jianping Yang & Xiaoming Wang & Dahe Qin & Bo Huang & Hongju Chen, 2020. "Drought disaster risks under CMIP5 RCP scenarios in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(3), pages 909-931, February.
    2. Alex Avilés & Abel Solera Solera & Javier Paredes-Arquiola & María Pedro-Monzonís, 2018. "Integrated Methodological Framework for Assessing the Risk of Failure in Water Supply Incorporating Drought Forecasts. Case Study: Andean Regulated River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1209-1223, March.
    3. Antonino Cancelliere, 2017. "Non Stationary Analysis of Extreme Events," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(10), pages 3097-3110, August.

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