IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v26y2012i4p981-996.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Definition of Risk Indicators for Reservoirs Management Optimization

Author

Listed:
  • Giuseppe Rossi
  • Enrica Caporali
  • Luis Garrote

Abstract

An alternative procedure for drought risk assessment and for the mitigation of drought risk is proposed in the paper. An analysis of the relationship between failure of water supply systems and reservoir volumes for the urban area of Firenze in central Tuscany, in central Italy, is performed. Long term simulations are carried out using the software package WEAP. A simplified model of the water resources system is built to assess the threshold values and the management rules. The probability to have definite degree of shortage in the water supply system is evaluated in function of the volume stored in the reservoir at the beginning of the month with Monte Carlo simulations. The reservoir levels and volumes are simulated using time series of the period 1970–2005. Four scenarios (i.e. normal, pre-alert, alert and emergency) associated with different levels of severity of drought are defined. Threshold values are identified considering the probability to assure a given fraction of the demand in a certain time horizon, and are calibrated with an optimization method, which try to minimize the water shortages, especially the heavier. The critical situations are assessed month by month in order to evaluate optimal management rules during the year and avoid conditions of total water shortage. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Giuseppe Rossi & Enrica Caporali & Luis Garrote, 2012. "Definition of Risk Indicators for Reservoirs Management Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(4), pages 981-996, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:4:p:981-996
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9842-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-011-9842-x
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-011-9842-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ana Iglesias & Luis Garrote & Francisco Flores & Marta Moneo, 2007. "Challenges to Manage the Risk of Water Scarcity and Climate Change in the Mediterranean," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(5), pages 775-788, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. David Haro & Abel Solera & Javier Paredes & Joaquín Andreu, 2014. "Methodology for Drought Risk Assessment in Within-year Regulated Reservoir Systems. Application to the Orbigo River System (Spain)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3801-3814, September.
    2. Claudia Carvalho-Santos & António T. Monteiro & João C. Azevedo & João Pradinho Honrado & João Pedro Nunes, 2017. "Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources and Reservoir Management: Uncertainty and Adaptation for a Mountain Catchment in Northeast Portugal," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(11), pages 3355-3370, September.
    3. Wouter Buytaert & Jan Friesen & Jens Liebe & Ralf Ludwig, 2012. "Assessment and Management of Water Resources in Developing, Semi-arid and Arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(4), pages 841-844, March.
    4. Shu Chen & Dongguo Shao & Xudong Li & Caixiu Lei, 2016. "Simulation-Optimization Modeling of Conjunctive Operation of Reservoirs and Ponds for Irrigation of Multiple Crops Using an Improved Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 2887-2905, July.
    5. Luis Garrote & Alfredo Granados & Mike Spiliotis & Francisco Martin-Carrasco, 2023. "Effectiveness of Adaptive Operating Rules for Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2527-2542, May.
    6. Mike Spiliotis & Luis Mediero & Luis Garrote, 2016. "Optimization of Hedging Rules for Reservoir Operation During Droughts Based on Particle Swarm Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(15), pages 5759-5778, December.
    7. E. Preziosi & A. Bon & E. Romano & A. Petrangeli & S. Casadei, 2013. "Vulnerability to Drought of a Complex Water Supply System. The Upper Tiber Basin Case Study (Central Italy)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(13), pages 4655-4678, October.
    8. Alex Avilés & Abel Solera Solera & Javier Paredes-Arquiola & María Pedro-Monzonís, 2018. "Integrated Methodological Framework for Assessing the Risk of Failure in Water Supply Incorporating Drought Forecasts. Case Study: Andean Regulated River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1209-1223, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nadjib Drouiche & Noreddine Ghaffour & Mohamed Naceur & Hacene Mahmoudi & Tarik Ouslimane, 2011. "Reasons for the Fast Growing Seawater Desalination Capacity in Algeria," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(11), pages 2743-2754, September.
    2. Catarina Esgalhado & Maria Helena Guimaraes, 2020. "Unveiling Contrasting Preferred Trajectories of Local Development in Southeast Portugal," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-15, March.
    3. Nektarios N. Kourgialas & Chrysoula Ntislidou & Eleana Kazila & Agathos Filintas & Catherina Voreadou, 2024. "An Innovative GIS-Based Policy Approach to Stream Water Quality and Ecological Risk Assessment in Mediterranean Regions: The Case of Crete, Greece," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-25, October.
    4. J. Maestre-Valero & D. Martínez-Granados & V. Martínez-Alvarez & J. Calatrava, 2013. "Socio-Economic Impact of Evaporation Losses from Reservoirs Under Past, Current and Future Water Availability Scenarios in the Semi-Arid Segura Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1411-1426, March.
    5. E. Preziosi & A. Bon & E. Romano & A. Petrangeli & S. Casadei, 2013. "Vulnerability to Drought of a Complex Water Supply System. The Upper Tiber Basin Case Study (Central Italy)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(13), pages 4655-4678, October.
    6. Mechthild Donner & Ivana Radić & Yamna Erraach & Fatima El Hadad-Gauthier, 2022. "Implementation of circular business models for olive oil waste and by-product valorization," Post-Print hal-03756908, HAL.
    7. Steven Koop & Cornelis Leeuwen, 2015. "Assessment of the Sustainability of Water Resources Management: A Critical Review of the City Blueprint Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5649-5670, December.
    8. Soto-García, M. & Martínez-Alvarez, V. & García-Bastida, P.A. & Alcon, F. & Martin-Gorriz, B., 2013. "Effect of water scarcity and modernisation on the performance of irrigation districts in south-eastern Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 11-19.
    9. Benabderrazik, K. & Kopainsky, B. & Tazi, L. & Joerin, J. & Six, J., 2021. "Agricultural intensification can no longer ignore water conservation – A systemic modelling approach to the case of tomato producers in Morocco," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    10. Carina Almeida & Tiago B. Ramos & João Sobrinho & Ramiro Neves & Rodrigo Proença de Oliveira, 2019. "An Integrated Modelling Approach to Study Future Water Demand Vulnerability in the Montargil Reservoir Basin, Portugal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, January.
    11. Mohamed Meddi & Ali Assani & Hind Meddi, 2010. "Temporal Variability of Annual Rainfall in the Macta and Tafna Catchments, Northwestern Algeria," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(14), pages 3817-3833, November.
    12. Mechthild Donner & Ivana Radić & Yamna Erraach & Fatima El Hadad-Gauthier, 2022. "Implementation of Circular Business Models for Olive Oil Waste and By-Product Valorization," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, July.
    13. D. González-Zeas & L. Garrote & A. Iglesias & A. Granados & A. Chávez-Jiménez, 2015. "Hydrologic Determinants of Climate Change Impacts on Regulated Water Resources Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 1933-1947, April.
    14. Temnani, Abdelmalek & Berríos, Pablo & Zapata-García, Susana & Pérez-Pastor, Alejandro, 2023. "Deficit irrigation strategies of flat peach trees under semi-arid conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    15. Juan-Carlos Ciscar & Antonio Soria & Clare M. Goodess & Ole B. Christensen & Ana Iglesias & Luis Garrote & Marta Moneo & Sonia Quiroga & Luc Feyen & Rutger Dankers & Robert Nicholls & Julie Richards &, 2009. "Climate change impacts in Europe. Final report of the PESETA research project," JRC Research Reports JRC55391, Joint Research Centre.
    16. Angela Hof & Macià Blázquez-Salom, 2013. "The Linkages between Real Estate Tourism and Urban Sprawl in Majorca (Balearic Islands, Spain)," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-26, May.
    17. Mohamed Taher, Srairi, 2011. "Is the “Livestock Revolution” achievable with smallholder farms located in water stressed areas? Lessons from a research intervention project in Morocco," 2011 Conference: Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture, December 6-7, 2011, Rabat, Morocco 188426, Moroccan Association of Agricultural Economics (AMAEco).
    18. Canone, D. & Previati, M. & Bevilacqua, I. & Salvai, L. & Ferraris, S., 2015. "Field measurements based model for surface irrigation efficiency assessment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 30-42.
    19. André Vizinho & David Avelar & Cristina Branquinho & Tiago Capela Lourenço & Silvia Carvalho & Alice Nunes & Leonor Sucena-Paiva & Hugo Oliveira & Ana Lúcia Fonseca & Filipe Duarte Santos & Maria José, 2021. "Framework for Climate Change Adaptation of Agriculture and Forestry in Mediterranean Climate Regions," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-33, February.
    20. Rouault, Pierre & Courault, Dominique & Flamain, Fabrice & Pouget, Guillaume & Doussan, Claude & Lopez-Lozano, Raul & McCabe, Matthew & Debolini, Marta, 2024. "High-resolution satellite imagery to assess orchard characteristics impacting water use," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:4:p:981-996. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.