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Diagnosing Causes of Water Scarcity in Complex Water Resources Systems and Identifying Risk Management Actions

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  • Francisco Martin-Carrasco
  • Luis Garrote
  • Ana Iglesias
  • Luis Mediero

Abstract

From the water management perspective, water scarcity is an unacceptable risk of facing water shortages to serve water demands in the near future. Water scarcity may be temporary and related to drought conditions or other accidental situation, or may be permanent and due to deeper causes such as excessive demand growth, lack of infrastructure for water storage or transport, or constraints in water management. Diagnosing the causes of water scarcity in complex water resources systems is a precondition to adopt effective drought risk management actions. In this paper we present four indices which have been developed to evaluate water scarcity. We propose a methodology for interpretation of index values that can lead to conclusions about the reliability and vulnerability of systems to water scarcity, as well as to diagnose their possible causes and to propose solutions. The described methodology was applied to the Ebro river basin, identifying existing and expected problems and possible solutions. System diagnostics, based exclusively on the analysis of index values, were compared with the known reality as perceived by system managers, validating the conclusions in all cases. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Martin-Carrasco & Luis Garrote & Ana Iglesias & Luis Mediero, 2013. "Diagnosing Causes of Water Scarcity in Complex Water Resources Systems and Identifying Risk Management Actions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(6), pages 1693-1705, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:27:y:2013:i:6:p:1693-1705
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0081-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Corentin Girard & Jean-Daniel Rinaudo & Manuel Pulido-Velazquez & Yvan Caballero, 2015. "An interdisciplinary modelling framework for selecting adaptation measures at the river basin scale in a global change scenario," Post-Print hal-01183833, HAL.
    2. Joost R. Santos & Sheree T. Pagsuyoin & Lucia C. Herrera & Raymond R. Tan & Krista D. Yu, 2014. "Analysis of drought risk management strategies using dynamic inoperability input–output modeling and event tree analysis," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 492-506, December.
    3. Chao Bao & Dongmei He, 2019. "Scenario Modeling of Urbanization Development and Water Scarcity Based on System Dynamics: A Case Study of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomeration, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-19, October.
    4. S. Ashbolt & S. Maheepala & B. Perera, 2014. "A Framework for Short-term Operational Planning for Water Grids," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(8), pages 2367-2380, June.
    5. Nastaran Chitsaz & Ali Azarnivand, 2017. "Water Scarcity Management in Arid Regions Based on an Extended Multiple Criteria Technique," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 233-250, January.
    6. Jinjin Gu & Mo Li & Ping Guo & Guohe Huang, 2016. "Risk Assessment for Ecological Planning of Arid Inland River Basins Under Hydrological and Management Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(4), pages 1415-1431, March.
    7. Jinjin Gu & Mo Li & Ping Guo & Guohe Huang, 2016. "Risk Assessment for Ecological Planning of Arid Inland River Basins Under Hydrological and Management Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(4), pages 1415-1431, March.
    8. Iglesias, Ana & Garrote, Luis, 2015. "Adaptation strategies for agricultural water management under climate change in Europe," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 113-124.
    9. Basem Shomar & Mohamed Darwish & Candace Rowell, 2014. "What does Integrated Water Resources Management from Local to Global Perspective Mean? Qatar as a Case Study, the Very Rich Country with No Water," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 2781-2791, August.
    10. Jorge Bielsa & Ignacio Cazcarro, 2014. "Implementing Integrated Water Resources Management in the Ebro River Basin: From Theory to Facts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, December.
    11. Mike Spiliotis & Francisco Martín-Carrasco & Luis Garrote, 2015. "A Fuzzy Multicriteria Categorization of Water Scarcity in Complex Water Resources Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 521-539, January.
    12. Dongguo Shao & Xudong Li & Wenquan Gu, 2015. "A Method for Temporary Water Scarcity Analysis in Humid Region Under Droughts Condition," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3823-3839, August.
    13. Chao Bao & Jianjun Zou, 2017. "Exploring the Coupling and Decoupling Relationships between Urbanization Quality and Water Resources Constraint Intensity: Spatiotemporal Analysis for Northwest China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-17, October.
    14. Corentin Girard & Jean-Daniel Rinaudo & Manuel Pulido-Velazquez, 2015. "Index-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis vs. Least-Cost River Basin Optimization Model: Comparison in the Selection of a Programme of Measures at the River Basin Scale," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(11), pages 4129-4155, September.
    15. Jun Zhao & Juliang Jin & Jiezhong Zhu & Jinchao Xu & Qingfeng Hang & Yaqian Chen & Donghao Han, 2016. "Water Resources Risk Assessment Model based on the Subjective and Objective Combination Weighting Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 3027-3042, July.
    16. Jeyrani, F. & Morid, S. & Srinivasan, R., 2021. "Assessing basin blue–green available water components under different management and climate scenarios using SWAT," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    17. Krueger, Erik S. & Yimam, Yohannes Tadesse & Ochsner, Tyson E., 2017. "Human factors were dominant drivers of record low streamflow to a surface water irrigation district in the US southern Great Plains," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 93-104.
    18. Carmen Hervás-Gámez & Fernando Delgado-Ramos, 2019. "Drought Management Planning Policy: From Europe to Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-26, March.

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