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Influence of Trend on Short Duration Design Storms

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  • Jan Adamowski
  • Kaz Adamowski
  • John Bougadis

Abstract

Design storms (DS) that are determined from intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) relationships are required in many water resources engineering applications. Short duration DS are of particular importance in municipal applications. In this paper, linear trends were estimated for different combinations of durations and frequencies (return periods) of annual short-duration extreme rainfall. Numerical analysis was performed for 15 meteorological stations from the province of Ontario, Canada. The estimated magnitude (rate mm/h) and direction of trend (increasing, decreasing, or no trend) were estimated and then used to quantify the effect of trend on the frequency of design storms. Significant trends were detected for all durations. It was determined that due to the existence of trends (which might be attributed to climate change), the design storms of a given duration might occur more frequently in the future by approximately as much as 36 years depending on the duration and return period. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Adamowski & Kaz Adamowski & John Bougadis, 2010. "Influence of Trend on Short Duration Design Storms," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(3), pages 401-413, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:3:p:401-413
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9452-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J.P. Bruce, 1999. "Disaster Loss Mitigation as an Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 295-306, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Peng Jiang & Zhongbo Yu & Mahesh R. Gautam & Kumud Acharya, 2016. "The Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation Events in the Western United States," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4807-4821, October.
    2. Fahad Alzahrani & Ousmane Seidou & Abdullah Alodah, 2022. "Assessment and Improvement of IDF Generation Algorithms Used in the IDF_CC Tool," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4591-4606, September.
    3. Myoung-Jin Um & Jun-Haeng Heo & Momcilo Markus & Donald J. Wuebbles, 2018. "Performance Evaluation of four Statistical Tests for Trend and Non-stationarity and Assessment of Observed and Projected Annual Maximum Precipitation Series in Major United States Cities," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 913-933, February.
    4. Jeong, Hanseok & Adamowski, Jan, 2016. "A system dynamics based socio-hydrological model for agricultural wastewater reuse at the watershed scale," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 89-107.
    5. Lingling Zhao & Jun Xia & Leszek Sobkowiak & Zhonggen Wang & Fengrui Guo, 2012. "Spatial Pattern Characterization and Multivariate Hydrological Frequency Analysis of Extreme Precipitation in the Pearl River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(12), pages 3619-3637, September.
    6. Md Mahmudul Haque & Amaury Souza & Ataur Rahman, 2017. "Water Demand Modelling Using Independent Component Regression Technique," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 299-312, January.
    7. Ioannis M. Kourtis & Ioannis Nalbantis & George Tsakiris & Basil Ε. Psiloglou & Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis, 2023. "Updating IDF Curves Under Climate Change: Impact on Rainfall-Induced Runoff in Urban Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2403-2428, May.

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