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Testing Gibrat's law in Italian macro-regions: Analysis on a panel of mechanical companies

Author

Listed:
  • P. Ganugi

    (Università cattolica S. Cuore di Piacenza)

  • L. Grossi

    (Università di Parma)

  • G. Gozzi

    (Università di Parma)

Abstract

The present paper deals with the question whether “Gibrat's law” is applicable to Italian mechanical companies active between 1997 and 1999 or not. The analysis was carried out at a spatial level splitting companies in four macro-regions: North-West, North-East, Centre and South. On the basis of a set of descriptive and inferential tools, we find that firm size, measured by total assets, follows approximately a log-normal distribution in at least two of the four analyzed macro-regions. Nevertheless log-normality is only one necessary but not sufficient condition for the validity of the Gibrat's law. Thus we analyzed the influence of firm size on growth rate finding a negative relation between the two variables in all macro-regions. This is a clear violation of Gibrat's law. Another violation was found by the application of an econometric model which evidences the persistence of growth.

Suggested Citation

  • P. Ganugi & L. Grossi & G. Gozzi, 2005. "Testing Gibrat's law in Italian macro-regions: Analysis on a panel of mechanical companies," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 14(1), pages 101-126, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:14:y:2005:i:1:d:10.1007_bf02511577
    DOI: 10.1007/BF02511577
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    2. Roberta Piergiovanni, 2010. "Gibrat's Law in the “Third Italy”: Firm Growth in the Veneto Region," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(1), pages 28-58, March.
    3. Bartoloni, Eleonora & Baussola, Maurizio & Bagnato, Luca, 2020. "Waiting for Godot? Success or failure of firms’ growth in a panel of Italian manufacturing firms," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 259-275.
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