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Dynamics and Forecast of Road Traffic Safety Management in Russia until 2030

Author

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  • A. I. Petrov

    (Industrial University of Tyumen)

Abstract

— The article is devoted to a study of the dynamics of improving road traffic safety in Russia over the past 20 years. Trends in changes in key indicators of road traffic safety in Russia are compared with similar values for other countries. Considerable attention is paid to an analysis of the level of realism in Russia’s plans regarding road traffic safety management in 2024–2030. Different forecast scenarios of changes in the human risk index in the Russian Federation for 2024–2030 are presented. Potential possibilities of improving road traffic safety measures in Russia are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • A. I. Petrov, 2024. "Dynamics and Forecast of Road Traffic Safety Management in Russia until 2030," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(5), pages 716-724, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:35:y:2024:i:5:d:10.1134_s1075700724700254
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700724700254
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. S. R. Milyakin, 2023. "Motorization: History, Factors and Patterns," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 254-262, April.
    2. David Bishai & Asma Quresh & Prashant James & Abdul Ghaffar, 2006. "National road casualties and economic development," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 65-81, January.
    3. Viacheslav Morozov & Artur I. Petrov & Vladimir Shepelev & Mohammed Balfaqih, 2024. "Ideology of Urban Road Transport Chaos and Accident Risk Management for Sustainable Transport Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-32, March.
    4. Schoemaker, Paul J H, 1982. "The Expected Utility Model: Its Variants, Purposes, Evidence and Limitations," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 20(2), pages 529-563, June.
    5. S. R. Milyakin & N. D. Skubachevskaya, 2023. "Development of the Novosibirsk Transport System until 2045: Analysis and Scenario Forecast," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 363-371, June.
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