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Growth cycles of knowledge

Author

Listed:
  • Marek Szydłowski

    (Jagiellonian University
    Catholic University of Lublin
    Jagiellonian University)

  • Adam Krawiec

    (Jagiellonian University
    Jagiellonian University)

Abstract

We have developed a way of describing the increase with time of the number of papers in a scientific field and apply it to a data base of about 2000 papers on symbolic logic published between 1666 and 1934. We find (a) a general exponential increase in the cumulative total number of papers, (b) oscillations around this due to the appearance of new ideas in the field and the time required for their full incorporation, and (c) exogenously caused fluctuations due to wars and other non-scientific events.

Suggested Citation

  • Marek Szydłowski & Adam Krawiec, 2009. "Growth cycles of knowledge," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 78(1), pages 99-111, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:scient:v:78:y:2009:i:1:d:10.1007_s11192-007-1958-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11192-007-1958-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. B. M. Gupta & C. R. Karisiddappa, 2000. "Modelling the Growth of Literature in the Area of Theoretical Population Genetics," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 49(2), pages 321-355, October.
    2. Marek Szydlowski & Adam Krawiec, 2001. "Scientific cycle model with delay," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 52(1), pages 83-95, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yu-Chun Chen & Hsiao-Yun Yeh & Jau-Ching Wu & Ingo Haschler & Tzeng-Ji Chen & Thomas Wetter, 2011. "Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database: administrative health care database as study object in bibliometrics," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 86(2), pages 365-380, February.
    2. Antonio Fernández-Cano & Manuel Torralbo & Mónica Vallejo, 2012. "Time series of scientific growth in Spanish doctoral theses (1848–2009)," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 91(1), pages 15-36, April.

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