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Influence of Path Dependence on the Evolution of Industrial Areas in Russia

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  • V. L. Baburin

    (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography)

Abstract

The article examines the influence of natural history and sociocultural processes on the formation and development of industrial areas within the borders of modern Russia, and partly in the Russian Empire and the USSR. The evolutionary approach is mainly used in the cyclical genetic dynamics’ version. To assess long-term path dependences, a 150-year cycle of industrialization within the boundaries of Historical Russia is analyzed, as well as the spatial localization mechanisms of Kondratieff waves and related technological modes of the first (first–second mode), second (third–fourth mode), and third (fifth mode) industrial revolutions. As an information base, data on the number of employees and volumes of industrial production are used, and for the 20th century, data on the dynamics of industrial fixed assets. The relationship between the modernization schemes on the old basis (within the boundaries of the old industrial regions) and in areas of pioneer development is revealed. The stability of industry specializations within the grid of industrial areas is considered separately. Based on the results, a conclusion is made about the stability of the old industrial cores of localization of industrial potential, the continuity of the ranger of their specializations (not the replacement of old industries with new ones but complement). The recurrence in regions of new development of the general scheme of the chosen path and legacy path was also established.

Suggested Citation

  • V. L. Baburin, 2021. "Influence of Path Dependence on the Evolution of Industrial Areas in Russia," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 80-90, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:rrorus:v:11:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1134_s2079970521010032
    DOI: 10.1134/S2079970521010032
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