IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/portec/v21y2022i2d10.1007_s10258-021-00193-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator

Author

Listed:
  • Wanjun Xia

    (Anhui University of Finance and Economics)

  • Buhari Doğan

    (Suleyman Demirel University)

  • Umer Shahzad

    (Anhui University of Finance and Economics)

  • Festus Fatai Adedoyin

    (Bournemouth University)

  • Abiodun Popoola

    (Ahmadu Bello University)

  • Muhammad Adnan Bashir

    (Nankai University)

Abstract

Due to urbanization and the need for people to go from one country to another either for commercial purpose or tourism, it is therefore important to determine the extent to which tourism contributes to growth. This article aims to investigate the tourism-led growth hypothesis in a sample of 34 European countries utilizing the yearly data from 1995 to 2015. The research work makes use of 8 tourism indicators, which cover different dimensions of tourism sector development such as foreign visitors' spending, and international tourist arrival. For empirical analysis, the study accounts key determinants of growth such as capital, labor and energy (renewable and non-renewable) consumption. The results from common correlated effects (CCE) augmented mean group (AMG) and groped-mean estimators confirms that there is a positive relationship between tourism, labour, capital and GDP insinuating the presence of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries. Also, findings from the FMOLS show that changes in the variables leads to a proportional change in GDP. Specifically, the evidence shows that the tourism indicators play an indispensable role in promoting economic development, along with energy consumption, capital, and labor. Sustainable Combating environmental issues associated with foreign arrivals, renewable energy consumption should be encouraged to reduce environmental externalities to ensure sustainable environments for businesses and tourists’ arrivals.

Suggested Citation

  • Wanjun Xia & Buhari Doğan & Umer Shahzad & Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Abiodun Popoola & Muhammad Adnan Bashir, 2022. "An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(2), pages 239-266, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:portec:v:21:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s10258-021-00193-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10258-021-00193-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10258-021-00193-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10258-021-00193-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Anyu & Wu, Doris Chenguang, 2019. "Tourism productivity and economic growth," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 253-265.
    2. Ramesh Durbarry, 2004. "Tourism and Economic Growth: The Case of Mauritius," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(4), pages 389-401, December.
    3. Eberhardt, Markus & Teal, Francis, 2008. "Modeling technology and technological change in manufacturing: how do countries differ?," MPRA Paper 10690, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Shahzad, Umer & Lv, Yulan & Doğan, Buhari & Xia, Wanjun, 2021. "Unveiling the heterogeneous impacts of export product diversification on renewable energy consumption: New evidence from G-7 and E-7 countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1457-1470.
    5. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Ghassen El Montasser & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(24), pages 2301-2308, May.
    6. Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S., 2012. "The Greek financial crisis: Growing imbalances and sovereign spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 498-516.
    7. Jacint Balaguer & Manuel Cantavella-Jorda, 2002. "Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(7), pages 877-884.
    8. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007. "A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 265-312.
    9. Joakim Westerlund, 2007. "Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 69(6), pages 709-748, December.
    10. Perles-Ribes, José Francisco & Ramón-Rodríguez, Ana Belén & Rubia, Antonio & Moreno-Izquierdo, Luis, 2017. "Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid after the global economic and financial crisis? The case of Spain 1957–2014," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 96-109.
    11. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "Tourism and growth: The times they are a-changing," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 165-169.
    12. Sung Yu-Chi & Hung-Pin Lin, 2018. "Causality Relationship between Tourism, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Taiwan," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(3), pages 287-293.
    13. Juan Gabriel Brida & Bibiana Lanzilotta & Fiorella Pizzolon, 2016. "Dynamic relationship between tourism and economic growth in MERCOSUR countries: a nonlinear approach based on asymmetric time series models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(2), pages 879-894.
    14. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 13-50, January.
    15. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta & Axel Kasongo & Thabo Mboweni & Ndivhuho Netshitenzhe, 2018. "Does tourism cause growth asymmetrically in a panel of G-7 countries? A short note," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 49-57, February.
    16. Haroon Bhorat & Aalia Cassim & David Tseng, 2016. "Higher education, employment and economic growth: Exploring the interactions," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 312-327, May.
    17. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2017. "Tourism-led growth hypothesis in the top ten tourist destinations: New evidence using the quantile-on-quantile approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 223-232.
    18. Tang, Chor Foon & Tan, Eu Chye, 2015. "Does tourism effectively stimulate Malaysia's economic growth?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 158-163.
    19. Cui, Lianbiao & Li, Rongjing & Song, Malin & Zhu, Lei, 2019. "Can China achieve its 2030 energy development targets by fulfilling carbon intensity reduction commitments?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 61-73.
    20. Lianbiao Cui & Yi Sun & Malin Song & Lei Zhu, 2020. "Co-financing in the green climate fund: lessons from the global environment facility," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 95-108, January.
    21. Ryan Bourne, 2016. "Why did the British Brexit? and What are the Implications for Classical Liberals?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 356-363, October.
    22. Chou, Ming Che, 2013. "Does tourism development promote economic growth in transition countries? A panel data analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 226-232.
    23. Sung Yu-Chi & Hung-Pin Lin, 2018. "Causality Relationship between Tourism, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Taiwan," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(3), pages 287-293, September.
    24. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    25. Chiu, Fan-Ping & Kuo, Hsiao-I. & Chen, Chi-Chung & Hsu, Chia-Sheng, 2015. "The energy price equivalence of carbon taxes and emissions trading—Theory and evidence," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 164-171.
    26. Corbet, Shaen & O’Connell, John F. & Efthymiou, Marina & Guiomard, Cathal & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "The impact of terrorism on European tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-17.
    27. Tang, Chor Foon & Aviral Kumar, Tiwari & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2016. "Dynamic Inter-relationships among tourism, economic growth and energy consumption in India," MPRA Paper 69848, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Mar 2016.
    28. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sarwar, Suleman & Chen, Wei & Malik, Muhammad Nasir, 2017. "Dynamics of electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: Global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 256-270.
    29. Tang, Chor Foon & Tan, Eu Chye, 2013. "How stable is the tourism-led growth hypothesis in Malaysia? Evidence from disaggregated tourism markets," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 52-57.
    30. Jones, Calvin & Li, ShiNa, 2015. "The economic importance of meetings and conferences: A satellite account approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 117-133.
    31. Ulrich Gunter & M. Graziano Ceddia & David Leonard & Bernhard Tröster, 2018. "Contribution of international ecotourism to comprehensive economic development and convergence in the Central American and Caribbean region," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(33), pages 3614-3629, July.
    32. Christian Gengenbach & Jean‐Pierre Urbain & Joakim Westerlund, 2016. "Error Correction Testing in Panels with Common Stochastic Trends," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 982-1004, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tanya Rheeders & Daniel F Meyer, 2022. "The Development of a Regional Tourism Destination Competitiveness Measurement Instrument," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Pasieka Stanislava & Kirdan Oleksandr & Braslavska Oksana & Kosmidailo Inna & Oliinyk Olga & Povorozniuk Inna & Drobotova Maryna, 2022. "The Economic Role of Tourism in European Countries’ Sustainable Development," Management Theory and Studies for Rural Business and Infrastructure Development, Sciendo, vol. 44(3), pages 323-337, September.
    3. Isabel P. Albaladejo & Juan Gabriel Brida & María Isabel González‐Martínez & Verónica Segarra, 2023. "A new look to the tourism and economic growth nexus: A clustering and panel causality analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(9), pages 2835-2856, September.
    4. Mengzhen Wang & Xingong Ding & Baekryul Choi, 2023. "FDI or International-Trade-Driven Green Growth of 24 Korean Manufacturing Industries? Evidence from Heterogeneous Panel Based on Non-Causality Test," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Gulsum Akarsu, 2023. "Interrelationships between Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rate, Inflation, and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence for Turkiye," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 49-76, June.
    6. Xi Wang & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Emmanuel Uche & Qianli Zhao, 2024. "The asymmetric effect of income and price changes on the consumption expenditures: evidence from G7 countries using nonlinear bounds testing approach," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(1), pages 35-53, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jun Zhang & Li Cheng, 2019. "Threshold Effect of Tourism Development on Economic Growth Following a Disaster Shock: Evidence from the Wenchuan Earthquake, P.R. China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    2. Osinubi, Tolulope Temilola & Osinubi , Olufemi Bankole, 2020. "Inclusive Growth in Tourism-led Growth Hypothesis: Evidence from Nigeria," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(2), July.
    3. Hasan Murat Ertugrul & Fatih Mangir, 2015. "The tourism-led growth hypothesis: empirical evidence from Turkey," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 633-646, July.
    4. Dogan, Ergun & Zhang, Xibin, 2023. "A nonparametric panel data model for examining the contribution of tourism to economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    5. Nnamdi Chinwendu Nwaeze & Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Izuchukwu Ogbodo & Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Ifeoma Nwakaego Sandra Ngini & Samuel Uchezuike Ani, 2023. "Dynamic linkages between tourism, economic growth, trade, energy demand and carbon emission: evidence from EU," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Abdul Rehman & Hengyun Ma & Muhammad Irfan & Munir Ahmad & Ousmane Traore, 2020. "Investigating the Influence of International Tourism in Pakistan and Its Linkage to Economic Growth: Evidence From ARDL Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(2), pages 21582440209, June.
    7. Skare, Marinko & Ozturk, Ilhan & Porada-Rochoń, Małgorzata & Stjepanovic, Sasa, 2024. "Energy as the new frontier: Dynamic panel data analysis revealing energy's transformative role in economic growth and technological progress," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sarwar, Suleman & Chen, Wei & Malik, Muhammad Nasir, 2017. "Dynamics of electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: Global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 256-270.
    9. Waheed Ahmad & Tariq Majeed & Zubaria Andlib, 2020. "Tourism Led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence From Five South Asian Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(1), pages 51-59, March.
    10. Ceyhun Can OZCAN & Murat ASLAN & Saban NAZLIOGLU, 2017. "Economic freedom, economic growth and international tourism for post-communist (transition) countries: A panel causality analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 75-98, Summer.
    11. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Gedikli, Ayfer & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Erdoğan, Fatma, 2022. "Eco-friendly technologies, international tourism and carbon emissions: Evidence from the most visited countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    12. Jing Gao & Wen Xu & Lei Zhang, 2021. "Tourism, economic growth, and tourism-induced EKC hypothesis: evidence from the Mediterranean region," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1507-1529, March.
    13. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Eapen, Leena Mary & Nair, Sthanu R, 2021. "Electricity consumption and economic growth at the state and sectoral level in India: Evidence using heterogeneous panel data methods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Tolulope Osinubi & Ajayi Adedoyin & Osinubi Olufemi & Folorunsho Ajide, 2023. "Does Tourism Affect Sustainable Development in MINT Countries?," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(1), pages 72-92, January.
    15. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & Heiko Rachinger & María Santana-Gallego, 2022. "Does tourism promote economic growth? A fractionally integrated heterogeneous panel data analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1355-1376, August.
    16. Lingaraj MALLICK & Ummalla MALLESH & Jaganath BEHERA, 2016. "Does tourism affect economic growth in Indian states? Evidence from panel ARDL model," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 183-194, Spring.
    17. Oluwatosin Adeniyi & Terver T Kumeka & Samuel Orekoya & Wasiu Adekunle, 2023. "Impact of tourism development on inclusive growth: A panel vector autoregression analysis for African economies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 612-642, May.
    18. Mohamed Chakroun & Naima Chrid & Sami Saafi, 2021. "Does export upgrading really matter to economic growth? Evidence from panel data for high‐, middle‐ and low‐income countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5584-5609, October.
    19. David Alaminos & Ana León-Gómez & José Ramón Sánchez-Serrano, 2020. "A DSGE-VAR Analysis for Tourism Development and Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-22, May.
    20. Garrod Brian & Almeida António & Machado Luiz, 2023. "Modelling of nonlinear asymmetric effects of changes in tourism on economic growth in an autonomous small-island economy," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 13(2), pages 154-172, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tourism; Growth; European countries; Energy consumption; AMG estimator;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:portec:v:21:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s10258-021-00193-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.