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Exchange rate volatility and capital inflows: role of financial development

Author

Listed:
  • Zainab Jehan

    (Fatima Jinnah Women University)

  • Azooba Hamid

    (Fatima Jinnah Women University)

Abstract

There is vast literature examining the impact of exchange rate volatility on various macroeconomic aggregates such as economic growth, trade flows, domestic investment, and more recently capital flows. However, these studies have ignored the role of financial development while examining the impact of exchange rate volatility on capital flows. This study aims to analyze the impact of exchange rate volatility on capital inflows towards developing countries by incorporating the role of financial development over the time period 1980–2013. In this regard, the behavior of two types of capital flows is examined: physical capital inflows measured as foreign direct investment, and financial inflows quantified through remittance inflows. The empirical investigation comprises the direct as well as indirect effect of exchange rate volatility on capital inflows. The study employs dynamic system GMM estimation technique to empirically estimate the effect of exchange rate volatility on capital inflows. The empirical results of the study identify that exchange rate volatility dampens both physical and financial inflows towards developing countries. The indirect impact of exchange rate volatility through financial development, however, turns out positive and statistically significant. This finding reflects that financial development helps in reducing the harmful impact of exchange rate volatility on capital inflows. Hence, the study concludes that a developed financial system is an important channel through which developing countries may improve capital inflows in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Zainab Jehan & Azooba Hamid, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and capital inflows: role of financial development," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 189-203, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:portec:v:16:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10258-017-0136-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10258-017-0136-y
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    3. Christian Nsiah & Bichaka Fayissa & Chen Wu, 2019. "The Long-Run Impact of Financial Development on Remittances: Evidence from Developing Countries," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 16, pages 31-46, May.
    4. Burak Buyun, 2024. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Affect the Bank Lending Channel?," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 51-61, January.
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    7. Muhammad Ejaz & Muhammad Shahzad & Rana Ejaz Ali Khan, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Capital Inflows in Developing Economies," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 24-32, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital inflows; Foreign direct investment; Remittances; Financial development; Exchange rate volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances

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