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Cold air formation and advection over Eurasia during “dzud” cold disaster winters in Mongolia

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  • Yoshihiro Iijima

    (Mie University)

  • Masatake E. Hori

    (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC))

Abstract

Large negative temperature anomalies due to cold air advection have been observed over the Eurasian continent in recent years. During the 2009/2010 winter, a large amount of snow accumulated across Central Asia and China, which along with a strong cold air outbreak, resulted in extremely high livestock mortality in Mongolia. The present study examined the surface inversion development over the Eurasian continent in terms of the cold air advection, accumulation, and breaking processes at ground level. Meteorological analyses shown trends toward earlier onsets of snow and subsequent cold air advection from the Arctic through western Siberia during the last decade, which is a possible driver of the persistent enhanced surface cooling observed in mid-winter in Mongolia. Cyclones are shown to be drivers of early snowfall onset at the beginning of winter and the subsequent migration of cold air from the Arctic, and are thus the key to understanding and predicting the frequency and intensity of persistent surface cooling, which is a substantial physical precursor for the cold disaster in Mongolia “dzud.”

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshihiro Iijima & Masatake E. Hori, 2018. "Cold air formation and advection over Eurasia during “dzud” cold disaster winters in Mongolia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(1), pages 45-56, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2683-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2683-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fernández-Giménez, María E. & Batkhishig, Baival & Batbuyan, Batjav & Ulambayar, Tungalag, 2015. "Lessons from the Dzud: Community-Based Rangeland Management Increases the Adaptive Capacity of Mongolian Herders to Winter Disasters," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 48-65.
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    Cited by:

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