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Assessing the impact of climatic parameters and their inter-annual seasonal variability on fire activity using time series satellite products in South China (2001–2014)

Author

Listed:
  • Zeeshan Shirazi

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Huadong Guo

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Fang Chen

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Bo Yu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Bin Li

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

China has a serious wildfire problem with a large number of fires in the south of the country especially during the winter (DJF) and spring (MAM) seasons. This study focused on identifying the causes of variability in inter-annual fire seasons. The relationship between fires and climatic parameters (precipitation, evapotranspiration and potential evapotranspiration) was evaluated on annual and seasonal (winter, spring) time scales. Certain other parameters (moisture balance, surface moisture balance, coefficient of variability of daily precipitation and ratio between evapotranspiration and potential evapotranspiration) were also calculated and related to fire variability for both time scales. Inter-annual time scale was found not to be strong enough to explain fire activity in the region; however, inter-seasonal fire variability showed significant correlation with potential evapotranspiration and with the ratio between evapotranspiration and potential evapotranspiration. The relationship and relative variability between evapotranspiration and the potential evapotranspiration were found to have important effect on inter-seasonal fire variability as compared to the other parameters studied, and link fire activity in the region to large-scale climatic systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeeshan Shirazi & Huadong Guo & Fang Chen & Bo Yu & Bin Li, 2017. "Assessing the impact of climatic parameters and their inter-annual seasonal variability on fire activity using time series satellite products in South China (2001–2014)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(3), pages 1393-1416, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:85:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2631-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2631-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Herawati, Hety & Santoso, Heru, 2011. "Tropical forest susceptibility to and risk of fire under changing climate: A review of fire nature, policy and institutions in Indonesia," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 227-233, April.
    2. Ze-Xin Fan & Axel Thomas, 2013. "Spatiotemporal variability of reference evapotranspiration and its contributing climatic factors in Yunnan Province, SW China, 1961–2004," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(2), pages 309-325, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hatice Oncel Cekim & Coşkun Okan Güney & Özdemir Şentürk & Gamze Özel & Kürşad Özkan, 2021. "A novel approach for predicting burned forest area," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 2187-2201, January.

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